Match Info

Serie A2 - Round 22

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday

Location: PalaGalassi (Forli)


	Forlì		Rieti

	1	2
	1.95	1.74
	1.92	1.73
	1.94	1.77	Watch
	1.98	1.72	Watch
	1.95	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↑ (1.89)	1.74 ↑ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 156.25

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Forlì
47.2%

Rieti
52.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.8%

52.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.8%

49.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Forlì has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Rieti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forlì than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rieti than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Forlì - Rieti Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Forlì (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +2.5, OT - Forlì (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +2.5 - Forlì (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Forlì (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 77:79

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
10. Gaspardo R.	8. Guariglia T.
22. Harper D.	22. Hogue D.
40. Pepe S.	5. Palumbo M.
23. Stephens D.	11. Perry D.
8. Tavernelli R.	27. Udom L.
Substitutes
21. Aradori P.	29. Mian F.
18. Bonomi D.	98. Paesano A.
0. Casali A.	7. Pascolo D.
20. Gardini J.	13. Piccin L.
6. Gazzotti G.	2. Piunti G.
11. Masciadri S.
30. Pinza T.
Coaches
. Martino A.	. Ciani F.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Forlì won 2.

Recent form of Forlì has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Rieti's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Rieti may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Forlì won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 814:838. (average 74:76.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Forlì won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 408:360. (average 81.6:72).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
3	Forli	2	2	0	165:141	4
4	Sebastiani Rieti	2	2	0	160:137	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pallacanestro Forlì
Italian Serie A2 Basketball
10.01.26	Mestre - Forlì	55:83 ✺
04.01.26	Forlì - Juvi Cremona	69:79 ✺
28.12.25	Blu Basket Bergamo - Forlì	93:79 ✺
21.12.25	Forlì - Rimini	77:86 ✺
14.12.25	Avellino Basket - Forlì	90:79 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLLLL
- NPC Rieti
Italian Serie A2 Basketball
09.01.26	Rieti - Cividale	82:54 ✺
04.01.26	Baltur Cento - Rieti	89:82 ✺
28.12.25	Rieti - Fortitudo Bologna	68:62 ✺
21.12.25	Basket Pesaro - Rieti	91:73 ✺
17.12.25	Rieti - Brindisi	87:76 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A2 Basketball
05.10.25	Rieti - Forlì	90:60
06.04.25	Rieti - Forlì	79:68
05.01.25	Forlì - Rieti	64:65
11.02.24	Forlì - Rieti	83:73
Italian Serie A2 Red Basketball
03.03.21	Forlì - Rieti	88:84 OT (74:74)
13.12.20	Rieti - Forlì	74:79
Italian Serie A2 Play Offs Basketball
08.05.19	Rieti - Forlì	95:67

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