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Current Win Probability
Illawarra Hawks 54.6%
Cairns Taipans 45.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
48.8%
51.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51.9%
48.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Illawarra Hawks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Illawarra Hawks's performance.
Cairns Taipans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cairns Taipans might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Illawarra Hawks than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cairns Taipans than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
Illawarra Hawks - Cairns Taipans Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 98:96
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
35. Doyle M.
3. Brown J.
13. Froling S.
33. Lewis M.
1. Harvey T.
9. McVeigh J.
30. Martin K.
25. Pinder K.
9. Swaka W.
2. Smith R.
Substitutes
5. Adnam K.
43. Bolden J.
11. Grida D.
22. Brown W.
6. Hickey W.
7. Bruce S.
25. Macdonald F.
14. Galloway K.
44. Maker M.
1. McVeigh L.
10. McGregor B.
5. Nunn B.
16. Narkle J.
10. Paul L.
24. Patterson L.
Preview
A determined lower-tier side seeks an essential result against mid-table opposition (ranked 10th and 6th in the Promotion - NBL Playoffs - Quarter - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Illawarra won 2.
Illawarra is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Taipans has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Illawarra may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Illawarra has recorded 11 wins, 0 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1826:1725 (averaging 91.3:86.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Illawarra against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 991:937 goals (averaging 90.1:85.2 per game).
Australia
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Doyle M. 
Froling S. 
Lewis M. 
Brown W. 
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