Match Info

NKL - Winners stage

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Telsiu sporto arena (Telsiai)


	Mažeikiai		Vytis Šakiai

	1	2
	2.03	1.65
	2.05	1.72
	1.99	1.71	Watch
	2.05	1.67
	2.05	1.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (1.96)	1.68 ↓ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 173.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mažeikiai
45.3%

Vytis Šakiai
54.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.3%

53.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.9%

50.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mažeikiai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Vytis Šakiai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mažeikiai than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vytis Šakiai than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Mažeikiai - Vytis Šakiai Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 85:90

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mokseckas G.	24. Celka G. (C)
12. Motuzas M. (C)	22. Janusevicius T.
3. Neal N.	11. Kupstas D.
31. Rimsa T.	12. Mikstas A.
4. Young C. K.	2. Vaivada N.
Substitutes
2. Juodis G.	18. Lebskas N.
13. Karasov P.	13. Leliukas K.
5. Marquett Epps D.	6. Mazeika G.
15. Mickus A.	1. Norutis R.
8. Rubinas D.	23. Rubinas J.
7. Stropus J.	3. Velutis P.
Coaches
. Kiltinavicius M.	. Kuciauskas E.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mažeikiai won 3.

Mažeikiai is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Vytis Šakiai has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mažeikiai won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 1590:1738. (average 79.5:86.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Mažeikiai won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 833:913. (average 75.7:83).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
2	Vytis VDU	2	2	0	178:173	2
13	Mazeikiai	3	1	2	217:241	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BC Mažeikiai
Lietuvos NKL
12.03.26	Sūduva - Mažeikiai	99:70 ✺
07.03.26	Rytas 2 - Mažeikiai	94:90 ✺
05.03.26	Mažeikiai - Telšiai	74:86 ✺
28.02.26	Perlas Vilkaviškis - Mažeikiai	91:67 ✺
26.02.26	Mažeikiai - Kėdainiai	86:79 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLLW
- BC Vytis Šakiai
Lietuvos NKL
12.03.26	Vytis Šakiai - Perlas Vilkaviškis	89:82 ✺
07.03.26	Vytis Šakiai - Kauno Žalgiris-2	81:92 ✺
05.03.26	Kėdainiai - Vytis Šakiai	87:89 ✺
28.02.26	Vytis Šakiai - Rytas 2	94:87 ✺
26.02.26	Sūduva - Vytis Šakiai	98:91 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Lietuvos NKL
19.01.26	Vytis Šakiai - Mažeikiai	83:82
04.12.25	Mažeikiai - Vytis Šakiai	89:103
04.04.23	Mažeikiai - Vytis Šakiai	87:73
01.04.23	Vytis Šakiai - Mažeikiai	73:79
29.03.23	Mažeikiai - Vytis Šakiai	72:70
23.02.23	Vytis Šakiai - Mažeikiai	99:95
26.01.23	Mažeikiai - Vytis Šakiai	74:69

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