Match Info

NBL - Round 10

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday

Location: John Cain Arena (Melbourne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	ESPN


	Melbourne United		Perth Wildcats

	1	2
			Watch
	1.38	2.9
	1.36	2.76	Watch
	1.41	3.02	Watch
	1.44	2.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.44)	2.82 ↑ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 183.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Melbourne United
66.8%

Perth Wildcats
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.3%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.4%

34.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Melbourne United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Perth Wildcats has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melbourne United than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Perth Wildcats than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Melbourne United - Perth Wildcats Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 184, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 95:89

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
7. Delany F.	5. Doolittle K.
35. Doyle M.	12. Duke Jr. D.
14. Edwards J.	0. Lual-Acuil J.
43. Goulding C. (C)	40. Pepper E.
2. Walker T.	3. Windler D.
Substitutes
15. Bowen K.	8. Dech S.
4. Daniels D.	10. Henshall B.
30. Koppens T.	13. Kouakou-Heugue N.
13. Krebs T.	2. Mayen L.
18. Krslovic F.	35. Okwera D.
9. Machar M.	1. Russo-Nance D.
22. Tata N.	24. Wagstaff J. (C)
12. Wilson T.

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NBL (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NBL (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melbourne won 3.

Melbourne has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Perth is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Melbourne may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Melbourne is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Melbourne won 16 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 1837:1719. (average 91.9:86).

Including home matches between the teams, Melbourne won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1129:1051. (average 94.1:87.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Melbourne United
Australian NBL
21.11.25	Illawarra Hawks - Melbourne United	102:105 ✺
15.11.25	Melbourne United - Brisbane Bullets	99:93 ✺
08.11.25	South East Melbourne Phoenix - Melbourne United	81:92 ✺
05.11.25	Illawarra Hawks - Melbourne United	107:93 ✺
03.11.25	Melbourne United - Sydney Kings	92:95 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWWLL
- Perth Wildcats
Australian NBL
21.11.25	Perth Wildcats - Tasmania JackJumpers	101:95 ✺
15.11.25	Perth Wildcats - New Zealand Breakers	88:75 ✺
08.11.25	Adelaide 36ers - Perth Wildcats	87:94 ✺
01.11.25	South East Melbourne Phoenix - Perth Wildcats	94:89 ✺
29.10.25	Tasmania JackJumpers - Perth Wildcats	84:95 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly Basketball
27.08.25	Perth Wildcats - Melbourne United	84:78
Australian NBL
04.03.25	Melbourne United - Perth Wildcats	113:112
01.03.25	Perth Wildcats - Melbourne United	96:89
27.02.25	Melbourne United - Perth Wildcats	105:93
22.01.25	Perth Wildcats - Melbourne United	93:99
09.11.24	Melbourne United - Perth Wildcats	106:97
04.10.24	Perth Wildcats - Melbourne United	68:97

Upcoming Matches