Match Info

NBL - Round 18

Date: 21 January 2026, Wednesday

Location: John Cain Arena (Melbourne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	ESPN, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports


	Melbourne United		Brisbane Bullets

	1	2
			Watch
	1.12	5.5
	1.13	5.32	Watch
	1.14	5
	1.12	6.7	Watch
	1.14	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.13 ↓ (1.16)	5.7 ↑ (4.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 179.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-12)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Melbourne United
83.5%

Brisbane Bullets
16.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

78.9%

21.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Melbourne United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Brisbane Bullets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Melbourne United - Brisbane Bullets Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Brisbane Bullets (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 96:84

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
4. Daniels D.	4. Ducas A.
7. Delany F.	15. Holt J.
14. Edwards J.	5. Maldonado H.
43. Goulding C. (C)	0. Murray T.
2. Walker T.	32. Taylor T.
Substitutes
3. Blogg C.	50. Bradtke J.
15. Bowen K.	9. Dalton C.
35. Doyle M.	6. Devers T.
30. Koppens T.	8. Norton M. (C)
13. Krebs T.	12. Purchase J.
18. Krslovic F.	18. Smith-Milner T.
9. Machar M.
12. Wilson T.
Coaches
. Vickerman D.	. McDonald D. K.

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NBL (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melbourne won 5.

Melbourne has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Brisbane Bullets is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Brisbane Bullets may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Melbourne is the obvious favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Melbourne won 18 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1968:1729. (average 98.4:86.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Melbourne won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 870:738. (average 96.7:82).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		PCT
7	Melbourne United	7	3	4	647:630	0.429
8	Brisbane Bullets	7	3	4	659:690	0.429

Outrights of Australian NBL for now

Melbourne United: 24.79% Brisbane Bullets: 4.85%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Melbourne United
Australian NBL
17.01.26	Melbourne United - Tasmania JackJumpers	79:77 ✺
11.01.26	Sydney Kings - Melbourne United	97:94 ✺
07.01.26	Melbourne United - Cairns Taipans	92:93 ✺
03.01.26	Tasmania JackJumpers - Melbourne United	84:75 ✺
27.12.25	Brisbane Bullets - Melbourne United	87:92 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLLLW
- Brisbane Bullets
Australian NBL
15.01.26	Sydney Kings - Brisbane Bullets	95:80 ✺
12.01.26	Cairns Taipans - Brisbane Bullets	86:83 ✺
04.01.26	Brisbane Bullets - Adelaide 36ers	86:97 ✺
01.01.26	Brisbane Bullets - Perth Wildcats	75:95 ✺
30.12.25	Sydney Kings - Brisbane Bullets	95:70 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NBL
27.12.25	Brisbane Bullets - Melbourne United	87:92
15.11.25	Melbourne United - Brisbane Bullets	99:93
17.10.25	Brisbane Bullets - Melbourne United	86:95
Club Friendly Basketball
30.08.25	Melbourne United - Brisbane Bullets	98:60
Australian NBL
25.01.25	Brisbane Bullets - Melbourne United	88:115
07.12.24	Melbourne United - Brisbane Bullets	114:122
07.11.24	Brisbane Bullets - Melbourne United	103:120

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