Match Info

World Cup - Qualification - First round - Round 6

Date: 6 July 2026, Monday

Location: Gimnasio Marcelino Gonzalez (Zacatecas)


	Mexico		USA

	1	2
	3.65	1.26	Watch
	3.10	1.33
	3.15	1.28	Watch
	3.4	1.29
	3.44	1.28	Watch
	3.2	1.27
	3.19	1.33
	3.25	1.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.3 ↑ (2.2)	1.29 ↓ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 179.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mexico
28.2%

USA
71.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.3%

58.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mexico has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mexico's form might have worsened.

USA has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting USA's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Mexico - USA Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Mexico will win (votes: 2 - 50%). USA will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Mexico (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 87:94

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Avila J. Astros de Jalisco	8. Craig T. Mets de Guaynabo
2. Bonilla G.	14. Huff J. Indiana Pacers
9. Cruz P.	5. James M. AS Monaco
10. Giron G. Toros Laguna	11. Ryan M. Dubai
4. Stoll P. Astros de Jalisco	6. York G. Zhejiang Chouzhou
Substitutes
11. Alvarez V. Astros de Jalisco	9. Bradshaw P.
7. Andriassi M. Astros de Jalisco	4. Brockington I. Liaoning
15. Camacho J. Halcones de Xalapa	7. Gilyard J. Gravelines-Dunkerque
25. Gutierrez J. Astros de Jalisco	10. Hernandez D. KCC Egis
3. Jaimes F. Zonkeys de Tijuana	15. Robinson O. Orlando Magic
0. Rodriguez K. Astros de Jalisco	13. Uthoff J. Pallacanestro Trieste
1. Sanchez M.
Coaches
. Quintero O.	. Silas S.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mexico won 2.

In this match, USA is a strong favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Mexico won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 674:804. (average 74.9:89.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mexico basketball
World Championship Basketball
03.07.26	Mexico - Nicaragua	98:79 ✺
01.03.26	USA - Mexico	123:88 ✺
26.02.26	Nicaragua - Mexico	72:99 ✺
01.12.25	Dominican Republic - Mexico	88:89 ✺
28.11.25	Mexico - Dominican Republic	85:92 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WLWWL
- USA basketball
World Championship Basketball
03.07.26	Dominican Republic - USA	81:82 ✺
01.03.26	USA - Mexico	123:88 ✺
26.02.26	USA - Dominican Republic	79:87 ✺
01.12.25	USA - Nicaragua	123:93 ✺
28.11.25	Nicaragua - USA	67:102 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

World Championship Basketball
01.03.26	USA - Mexico	123:88
AmeriCup Basketball
02.09.22	Mexico - USA	73:67
World Championship Basketball
27.02.22	USA - Mexico	89:67
29.11.21	Mexico - USA	97:88
AmeriCup Basketball
20.02.21	Mexico - USA	75:96
30.11.20	USA - Mexico	94:78
World Championship Basketball
28.06.18	Mexico - USA	78:70

Mexico - USA: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide