Match Info

NBA

Date: 21 January 2026, Wednesday

Location: Fiserv Forum (Milwaukee, WI)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+, ESPN 4
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Finland	Veikkaus TV
France	beIN Sports 1
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 4
Mexico	Disney+
Netherlands	ESPN 1
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	NBA Global League Pass


	Milwaukee Bucks		Oklahoma City Thunder

	1	2
	5	1.18	Watch
	4.25	1.24
	4.9	1.18
	4.89	1.21	Watch
	4.9	1.18	Watch
	5.34	1.2
	5	1.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.9 ↑ (4.11)	1.2 ↓ (1.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 224.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-12)

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Milwaukee Bucks
19.6%

Oklahoma City Thunder
80.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23%

77%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Milwaukee Bucks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Oklahoma City Thunder has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.2%	0%	11.8%

Milwaukee Bucks - Oklahoma City Thunder Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Milwaukee will win (votes: 15 - 88.2%). Oklahoma City will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Milwaukee: 72.9% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +9.5, OT - Milwaukee (2.18) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 223.5, OT - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Milwaukee Bucks will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Milwaukee (votes: 8 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 106:118

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
11. Harris G.	25. Mitchell A.
18. Kuzma K.	5. Dort L.
34. Antetokounmpo G.	7. Holmgren C.
20. Green A.	22. Wallace C.
13. Rollins R.	2. Gilgeous-Alexander S.
Substitutes
43. Antetokounmpo T.	23. Barnhizer B.
50. Anthony C.	15. Carlson B.
17. Coffey A.	13. Dieng O.
44. Jackson A.	11. Joe I.
35. Nance P.	21. Wiggins A.
9. Portis B.	34. Williams K.
00. Sims J.	3. Youngblood C.
5. Trent G.
Coaches
. Rivers D.	. Daigneault M.

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Milwaukee won 1.

In recent matches, Milwaukee has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Oklahoma City is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Milwaukee may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Milwaukee has had a series of away games.

In this match, Oklahoma City is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Milwaukee: Prince T. (Neck Injury)

There will not play in Oklahoma City: Caruso A. (Groin Injury) Hartenstein I. (Calf Injury) Sorber T. (Knee Injury) Topic N. (Groin Injury) Williams J. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Milwaukee won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 2249:2188. (average 112.5:109.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Milwaukee won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1113:1002. (average 111.3:100.2).

Outrights of NBA for now

Oklahoma City Thunder: 21.69% Milwaukee Bucks: 0.19%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Milwaukee Bucks
NBA
19.01.26	Atlanta Hawks - Milwaukee Bucks	110:112 ✺
15.01.26	San Antonio Spurs - Milwaukee Bucks	119:101 ✺
13.01.26	Milwaukee Bucks - Minnesota Timberwolves	106:139 ✺
11.01.26	Denver Nuggets - Milwaukee Bucks	108:104 ✺
09.01.26	Los Angeles Lakers - Milwaukee Bucks	101:105 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLLLW
- Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA
19.01.26	Cleveland Cavaliers - Oklahoma City Thunder	104:136 ✺
17.01.26	Miami Heat - Oklahoma City Thunder	122:120 ✺
15.01.26	Houston Rockets - Oklahoma City Thunder	91:111 ✺
13.01.26	Oklahoma City Thunder - San Antonio Spurs	119:98 ✺
11.01.26	Oklahoma City Thunder - Miami Heat	124:112 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

NBA
14.10.25	Milwaukee Bucks - Oklahoma City Thunder	112:116
16.03.25	Milwaukee Bucks - Oklahoma City Thunder	105:121
03.02.25	Oklahoma City Thunder - Milwaukee Bucks	125:96
NBA Cup
17.12.24	Milwaukee Bucks - Oklahoma City Thunder	97:81
NBA
12.04.24	Oklahoma City Thunder - Milwaukee Bucks	125:107
24.03.24	Milwaukee Bucks - Oklahoma City Thunder	118:93
17.10.23	Oklahoma City Thunder - Milwaukee Bucks	124:101

Milwaukee Bucks - Oklahoma City Thunder: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide