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Current Win Probability
Minnesota United 45.1%
Draw 26.8%
Houston Dynamo 28.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.6%
25.3%
30.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44%
25.6%
30.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Minnesota United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
Houston Dynamo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Minnesota United than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Houston Dynamo than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
33.3%
16.7%
Minnesota United - Houston Dynamo Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Minnesota will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Houston will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.75 - under (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 14th and 5th in the Promotion - MLS Playoffs - 1/8 - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Minnesota won 2.
Minnesota has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Performances by Houston have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Minnesota is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
Confirmed absences for Minnesota: Diaz J.
(Yellow Cards)
Smir A.
(Knee Injury).
Confirmed absences for Houston: Herrera H.
(Red Card).
Doubtful / questionable for Minnesota: Pereyra J.
(Muscle Injury)
Stroud P.
(Muscle Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Houston: Maurer J.
(Concussion)
Resch A.
(Lower-Body Injury).
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Minnesota has recorded 10 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 27:28 (averaging 1.4:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Minnesota against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 14:6 goals (averaging 1.8:0.8 per game).
Outrights of MLS for now
Houston Dynamo: 4.57% Minnesota United: 0.62%
Last Results with these Odds
Houston Dynamo - the odds 3.14 are the expected chance of winning is 30.09%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
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