Match Info

Lega A - Round 20

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday

Location: PalaTrieste (Trieste)

Referee: Catani M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	LBA TV


	Trieste		Napoli Basket

	1	2
			Watch
	1.38	2.95	Watch
	1.34	3.18
	1.36	3.04
	1.4	3.05
	1.39	3.1	Watch
	1.38	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.4)	3.03 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 170.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trieste
68.8%

Napoli Basket
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.3%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.5%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trieste has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Napoli Basket has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trieste than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Trieste that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Napoli Basket than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Napoli Basket could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Trieste - Napoli Basket Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 88:83

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Brown M.	1. Flagg S.
37. Ramsey J.	22. Gentile S.
4. Ross C.	3. Mitrou-Long N.
11. Sissoko M.	35. Tote L.
9. Uthoff J.	18. Treier K.
Substitutes
23. Brooks J.	45. Bolton R.
13. Candussi F.	5. El Amin I.
5. Cinquepalmi Z.	32. Esposito E.
8. Deangeli L.	10. Faggian L.
18. Iannuzzi P.	14. Gloria M.
10. Ruzzier M.	25. Simms A.
1. Toscano-Anderson J.
Coaches
. Gonzalez I.	. Magro A.

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Lega A (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Trieste won 5.

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Trieste may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Trieste is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Trieste won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 624:568. (average 89.1:81.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Trieste won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 271:225. (average 90.3:75).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
3	Basket Napoli	2	2	0	193:168	4
16	Trieste	3	0	3	245:255	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pallacanestro Trieste 2004
Champions League Basketball
11.02.26	Trieste - Gran Canaria 2014	70:94 ✺
Italian Lega A Basketball
08.02.26	Derthona Basket Tortona - Trieste	104:99 ✺
Champions League Basketball
04.02.26	Trieste - Nymburk	85:91 ✺
Italian Lega A Basketball
01.02.26	Trieste - Treviso Basket	84:76 ✺
Champions League Basketball
28.01.26	Canarias - Trieste	84:82 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLWL
- Napoli Basket
Italian Lega A Basketball
08.02.26	Napoli Basket - Venezia	64:79 ✺
24.01.26	Napoli Basket - Derthona Basket Tortona	76:82 ✺
18.01.26	Dinamo Sassari - Napoli Basket	78:84 ✺
12.01.26	Napoli Basket - Olimpia Milano	71:77 ✺
03.01.26	Varese - Napoli Basket	84:80 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Lega A Basketball
11.10.25	Napoli Basket - Trieste	79:84
06.04.25	Trieste - Napoli Basket	109:82
06.10.24	Napoli Basket - Trieste	83:92
29.01.23	Trieste - Napoli Basket	85:68
30.10.22	Napoli Basket - Trieste	92:95 OT (80:80)
31.01.22	Napoli Basket - Trieste	89:82
30.10.21	Trieste - Napoli Basket	77:75

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