Match Info

LITHUANIA: NKL - LOSERS STAGE

Date: 29 February 2024, Thursday

Location: Klaipėdos KKRC (Klaipeda)


	Neptūnas		Šilutė

	1	2
	1.45	2.55
	1.4	2.66
	1.42	2.87
	1.45	2.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↑ (1.41)	2.67 ↓ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 161.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Neptūnas
65.1%

Šilutė
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.6%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.7%

34.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Neptūnas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Šilutė has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neptūnas than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Šilutė than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Neptūnas - Šilutė Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 84:79

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Neptūnas won 3.

Neptūnas is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Šilutė is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Neptūnas could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Neptūnas have a series of home games.

Recently Šilutė have a series of guest games.

Neptūnas will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Neptūnas to win the game is with odds 1.44.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Neptūnas won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 1302-1325.

Including matches at home between the teams Neptūnas won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 590-626.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BC Neptūnas Klaipeda
Lietuvos NKL
24.02.24	Neptūnas - Vilniaus Stekas	78:75 ✺
17.02.24	Rytas 2 - Neptūnas	88:89 ✺
15.02.24	Neptūnas - Kauno Atletas	89:76 ✺
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
12.02.24	Neptūnas - Žalgiris Kaunas	75:95 ✺
Lietuvos NKL
10.02.24	Neptūnas - Kretinga	96:84 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWWLW
- KK Šilutė
Lietuvos NKL
24.02.24	Kauno Atletas - Šilutė	72:76 ✺
22.02.24	Šilutė - Rytas 2	87:90 ✺
17.02.24	Vilniaus Stekas - Šilutė	86:75 ✺
15.02.24	Delikatesas Joniškis - Šilutė	98:99 ✺
03.02.24	Rytas 2 - Šilutė	93:81 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Lietuvos NKL
27.01.24	Šilutė - Neptūnas	75:86
30.11.23	Neptūnas - Šilutė	76:68
14.10.23	Šilutė - Neptūnas	79:75
08.12.22	Šilutė - Neptūnas	63:77
27.10.22	Neptūnas - Šilutė	68:84
16.12.21	Šilutė - Neptūnas	76:63
30.11.21	Neptūnas - Šilutė	54:75

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