Match Info

LPB - Round 15

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Arena de Ovar (Ovar)


	Ovarense		Sporting Lisbon

	1	2
	2.75	1.36
	2.77	1.34
	2.63	1.42
	2.7	1.4
	2.69	1.41
	2.9	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↓ (3.23)	1.38 ↑ (1.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 160.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ovarense
33.5%

Sporting Lisbon
66.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.1%

71.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ovarense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ovarense's performance.

Sporting Lisbon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sporting Lisbon might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Ovarense - Sporting Lisbon Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ovarense (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 77:83

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
5. Heath J.	6. Amarante F.
2. Jenkins J.	3. Harden-Hayes M.
3. Pavicevic I.	0. Johns Jr B.
13. Soeiro R.	7. Robinson C.
20. Teixeira G.	30. Swenson S.
Substitutes
15. Finke T.	4. Correia M.
10. Monteiro M.	12. Cruz A.
9. Morais N. (C)	13. Fernandes J.
12. Silva J.	24. Morgan M.
24. Sona R.	5. Palhares R.
33. Vuaka I.	1. Razaque U.
0. Woods A.	9. Ventura D. (C)
Coaches
. Silva J.	. Magalhaes L.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ovarense won 1.

Ovarense is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Sporting's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Sporting may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Ovarense has had a series of away games.

Sporting is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ovarense won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 17 matches, and goals 1482:1771. (average 74.1:88.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Ovarense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 774:874. (average 77.4:87.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
3	Ovarense	1	1	0	96:83	2
10	Sporting CP	1	0	1	71:84	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ovarense Basquetebol
Portuguese LPB
07.02.26	Oliveirense - Ovarense	82:97 ✺
31.01.26	Vasco Da Gama Porto - Ovarense	66:110 ✺
24.01.26	Esgueira - Ovarense	76:79 ✺
Taca de Portugal Basketball
17.01.26	Ovarense - Sporting Lisbon	70:85 ✺
Portuguese LPB
11.01.26	Braga - Ovarense	74:86 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWWLW
- Sporting Lisbon Basketball
FIBA Europe Cup
11.02.26	Sporting Lisbon - Prievidza	92:73 ✺
Portuguese LPB
07.02.26	Sporting Lisbon - Porto	76:82 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
04.02.26	PAOK - Sporting Lisbon	101:67 ✺
Portuguese LPB
31.01.26	Benfica - Sporting Lisbon	78:87 ✺
Portuguese Taca da Liga Basketball
28.01.26	Imortal - Sporting Lisbon	74:88 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Taca de Portugal Basketball
17.01.26	Ovarense - Sporting Lisbon	70:85
Portuguese LPB
01.11.25	Sporting Lisbon - Ovarense	78:64
08.03.25	Sporting Lisbon - Ovarense	100:91
10.11.24	Ovarense - Sporting Lisbon	77:86
13.05.24	Ovarense - Sporting Lisbon	93:91 OT
10.05.24	Sporting Lisbon - Ovarense	81:87
20.01.24	Sporting Lisbon - Ovarense	86:91

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