Match Info

Euroleague - Round 21

Date: 8 January 2026, Thursday

Location: Movistar Arena (Madrid)

Referee: Giovannetti G. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 1
Europe	Go3 Baltic Euroleague
Finland	Veikkaus TV
France	SKWeek App
Germany	Magenta Sport
Greece	Nova Sports 4
Israel	Sport 5
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 5
Slovenia	SportKlub 2
Turkey	S Sport+
World	EuroLeague TV


	Real Madrid		Maccabi Tel Aviv

	1	2
	1.2	4.5	Watch
	1.2	4.55	Watch
	1.27	4.14	Watch
	1.22	3.75
	1.22	4.62	Watch
	1.22	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.22 ↑ (1.21)	4.34 ↑ (4.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 175.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-10)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Madrid
78%

Maccabi Tel Aviv
22%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

77.8%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Maccabi Tel Aviv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Real Madrid - Maccabi Tel Aviv Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -4.5, OT - Real Madrid (1.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +12.5, OT - Maccabi Tel Aviv (1.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 176, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Real Madrid will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Real Madrid will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Real Madrid (votes: 6 - 75%). Maccabi Tel Aviv (votes: 2 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 93:83

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
6. Abalde A.	11. Rayman W.
11. Hezonja M.	1. Hoard J.
22. Tavares E.	3. Marcio
7. Campazzo F.	45. Blatt T.
8. Okeke C.	0. Lundberg G.
Substitutes
14. Deck G.	10. Brissett O.
24. Feliz A.	2. Clark J.
16. Garuba U.	12. Dibartolomeo J.
25. Len A.	21. Dowtin J.
23. Llull S.	4. Lavy G.
0. Lyles T.	22. Leaf T.J.
12. Maledon T.	9. Sorkin R.
Coaches
. Scariolo S.	. Kattash O.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Madrid won 3.

Real Madrid is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Maccabi Tel Aviv's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Maccabi Tel Aviv has had a series of away games.

In this match, Real Madrid is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Real Madrid won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 1780:1608. (average 89:80.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Real Madrid won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 920:797. (average 92:79.7).

Outrights of Euroleague for now

Real Madrid: 8.19% Maccabi Tel Aviv: 1.63%

Standings

		Pl	W	L
15	Real Madrid	4	1	3	345:350
19	Maccabi Tel Aviv	4	1	3	331:362

Last Results with these Odds

Real Madrid - the odds 1.21 are the expected chance of winning is 77.84%, but this team recently wins 92% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Madrid basketball
Euroleague
06.01.26	ASVEL Basket - Real Madrid	69:80 ✺
Spanish ACB League
04.01.26	Real Madrid - Barcelona	100:105 ✺
Euroleague
02.01.26	Real Madrid - Dubai	107:93 ✺
Spanish ACB League
30.12.25	UCAM Murcia - Real Madrid	80:91 ✺
28.12.25	Real Madrid - Unicaja Malaga	91:82 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLWWW
- BC Maccabi Tel Aviv
Euroleague
06.01.26	Barcelona - Maccabi Tel Aviv	93:83 ✺
Israeli Basketball Super League
04.01.26	Maccabi Tel Aviv - Hapoel HaEmek	89:64 ✺
Euroleague
02.01.26	Bayern München - Maccabi Tel Aviv	95:71 ✺
Israeli Basketball Super League
29.12.25	Ironi Kiryat Ata - Maccabi Tel Aviv	82:116 ✺
Euroleague
26.12.25	Partizan Belgrade - Maccabi Tel Aviv	87:112 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Euroleague
22.10.25	Maccabi Tel Aviv - Real Madrid	92:91
14.01.25	Real Madrid - Maccabi Tel Aviv	116:113
31.10.24	Maccabi Tel Aviv - Real Madrid	79:78
30.01.24	Real Madrid - Maccabi Tel Aviv	106:101
28.11.23	Maccabi Tel Aviv - Real Madrid	70:99
13.04.23	Maccabi Tel Aviv - Real Madrid	100:96 OT
06.01.23	Real Madrid - Maccabi Tel Aviv	98:65

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