Match Info

ACB - Round 20

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Palacio de Deportes José María Martín Carpena (Málaga)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	DAZN
Canada	DAZN Canada
Finland	Elisa Viihde Sport, Veikkaus TV
France	DAZN France
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 5
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Poland	SportKlub
Portugal	DAZN 3
Spain	DAZN Espana
United-kingdom	DAZN


	Unicaja Malaga		Real Madrid

	1	2
	2.15	1.62	Watch
	2.25	1.6	Watch
	2.48	1.56
	2.31	1.58	Watch
	2.25	1.57
	2.44	1.58	Watch
	2.35	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↑ (2.19)	1.59 ↓ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 172.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unicaja Malaga
40.7%

Real Madrid
59.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.3%

56.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

58.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unicaja Malaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Real Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unicaja Malaga than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Unicaja Malaga - Real Madrid Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 167.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -7.5, OT - Real Madrid (2.73) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Unicaja Malaga will win (24 of 27 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.04% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Unicaja Malaga will win (12 of 12 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Unicaja (votes: 12 - 85.7%). Real Madrid (votes: 2 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 84:88

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
2. Balcerowski A.	24. Feliz A.
7. Barreiro J.	11. Hezonja M.
27. Duarte C.	23. Llull S.
55. Perry K.	8. Okeke C.
3. Webb J. III	22. Tavares E.
Substitutes
11. Cobbs J.	6. Abalde A.
9. Diaz A.	16. Garuba U.
14. Djedovic N.	1. Kramer D.
4. Kalinoski T.	25. Len A.
0. Perez T.	0. Lyles T.
21. Rubit A.	12. Maledon T.
19. Sulejmanovic E.	9. Procida G.
Coaches
. Navarro I.	. Scariolo S.

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ ACB (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ ACB (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unicaja won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Real Madrid may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Unicaja won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 1710:1744. (average 85.5:87.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Unicaja won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 949:938. (average 86.3:85.3).

Outrights of Spanish ACB League for now

Real Madrid: 51.15% Unicaja: 3.09%

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
3	Real Madrid	2	2	0	203:194	4
17	Unicaja	2	0	2	162:169	0

Last Results with these Odds

Real Madrid - the odds 1.67 are the expected chance of winning is 56.74%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unicaja Málaga
Champions League Basketball
11.02.26	s.Oliver Wurzburg - Unicaja Malaga	80:71 ✺
Spanish ACB League
07.02.26	Unicaja Malaga - BC Andorra	91:79 ✺
Champions League Basketball
03.02.26	Unicaja Malaga - Élan Sportif Chalonnais	111:82 ✺
Spanish ACB League
01.02.26	Basquet Manresa - Unicaja Malaga	92:98 ✺
Champions League Basketball
28.01.26	Joventut Badalona - Unicaja Malaga	71:66 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWWWL
- Real Madrid basketball
Euroleague
13.02.26	Partizan Belgrade - Real Madrid	73:77 ✺
Spanish ACB League
08.02.26	Real Madrid - Granada	94:79 ✺
Euroleague
05.02.26	Dubai - Real Madrid	93:85 ✺
03.02.26	Panathinaikos - Real Madrid	82:81 ✺
Spanish ACB League
01.02.26	Real Madrid - Basket Zaragoza	99:78 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish ACB League
28.12.25	Real Madrid - Unicaja Malaga	91:82
17.06.25	Unicaja Malaga - Real Madrid	79:86
15.06.25	Unicaja Malaga - Real Madrid	86:84
13.06.25	Real Madrid - Unicaja Malaga	90:75
11.06.25	Real Madrid - Unicaja Malaga	99:81
23.03.25	Unicaja Malaga - Real Madrid	105:107
Spanish Basketball Cup
16.02.25	Unicaja Malaga - Real Madrid	93:79

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