Match Info

Date: 24 April 2022, Sunday


	Varese		Fortitudo Bologna

	1	2
	1.58	2.5	Watch
	1.57	2.3
	1.55	2.45
	1.56	2.34
	1.61	2.43
	1.58	2.45	Watch
	1.58	2.48	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↑ (1.39)	2.42 ↓ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 169.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Varese
60.6%

Fortitudo Bologna
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.4%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.5%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Varese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Varese's form might have worsened.

Fortitudo Bologna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fortitudo Bologna's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varese than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Varese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortitudo Bologna than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fortitudo Bologna, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Varese - Fortitudo Bologna Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 87:83

#ad

Preview

Cimberio Varese is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Fortitudo Bologna is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cimberio Varese will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cimberio Varese won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 408-402.

Including matches at home between the teams Cimberio Varese won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 150-139.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pallacanestro Varese
Italian Lega A Basketball
16.04.22	Derthona Basket Tortona - Varese	104:99 ✺
13.04.22	Varese - Trieste	76:92 ✺
10.04.22	Varese - Treviso Basket	80:89 ✺
03.04.22	Brindisi - Varese	72:75 ✺
26.03.22	Olimpia Milano - Varese	95:77 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LLLWL
- Fortitudo Bologna
Italian Lega A Basketball
16.04.22	Fortitudo Bologna - Basket Trento	89:69 ✺
13.04.22	Basket Pesaro - Fortitudo Bologna	88:87 ✺
10.04.22	Venezia - Fortitudo Bologna	77:72 ✺
03.04.22	Fortitudo Bologna - Vanoli-Braga Cremona	85:83 ✺
27.03.22	Dinamo Sassari - Fortitudo Bologna	85:79 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Lega A Basketball
09.01.22	Fortitudo Bologna - Varese	101:94
14.02.21	Varese - Fortitudo Bologna	67:79
04.10.20	Fortitudo Bologna - Varese	83:88
26.01.20	Fortitudo Bologna - Varese	79:76
06.10.19	Varese - Fortitudo Bologna	83:60

Upcoming Matches