Match Info

Euroleague - Round 23

Date: 21 January 2026, Wednesday

Location: Segafredo Arena (Bologna)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Czech-republic	Oneplay Sport 1, Oneplay Sport 3, Oneplay Sport 4
Europe	Go3 Baltic Euroleague
Finland	Ruutu+
France	SKWeek App
Germany	Magenta Sport
Greece	Nova Sports Prime
Israel	Sport 5
Poland	Polsat Sport Extra 4
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Turkey	S Sport+
World	EuroLeague TV


	Virtus Bologna		Fenerbahçe

	1	2
	2.4	1.56	Watch
	2.38	1.58
	2.41	1.63
	2.25	1.57
	2.45	1.59	Watch
	2.45	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (2.25)	1.59 ↑ (1.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 161.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Virtus Bologna
39.9%

Fenerbahçe
60.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.5%

59.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.6%

53.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Virtus Bologna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Fenerbahçe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Virtus Bologna than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Virtus Bologna, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fenerbahçe than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fenerbahçe, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.2%	0%	18.7%

Virtus Bologna - Fenerbahçe Predictions

Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. Virtus Bologna will win (votes: 26 - 81.3%). Fenerbahçe will win (votes: 6 - 18.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Virtus Bologna: 67.8% – 94.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 165, OT - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 157.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Virtus Bologna will win (15 of 20 users predict this - 75%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 79:83

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
45. Akele N.	13. Biberovic T.
21. Alston Jr. D.	92. Birch K.
35. Diouf M.	20. Hall D.
3. Edwards C.	10. Mahmutoglu M.
6. Pajola A.	4. Melli N.
Substitutes
8. Accorsi M.	0. Bacot A.
22. Canka A.	1. Birsen J.
23. Hackett D.	17. Bitim O.
34. Jallow K.	12. De Colo N.
30. Morgan M.	8. Horton-Tucker T.
7. Niang S.	18. Jantunen M.
Coaches
. Ivanovic D.	. Jasikevicius S.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Virtus Bologna won 1.

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Recently, Fenerbahçe has had a series of home games.

Fenerbahçe will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Virtus Bologna won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 647:674. (average 80.9:84.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Virtus Bologna won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 355:321. (average 88.8:80.3).

Outrights of Euroleague for now

Fenerbahce: 10.68% Virtus Bologna: 0.88%

Standings

		Pl	W	L
4	Fenerbahce	4	3	1	328:302
10	Virtus Bologna	4	2	2	343:346

Last Results with these Odds

Virtus Bologna - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 40.48%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Virtus Bologna
Italian Lega A Basketball
18.01.26	Virtus Bologna - Treviso Basket	88:77 ✺
Euroleague
15.01.26	Dubai - Virtus Bologna	72:80 ✺
Italian Lega A Basketball
11.01.26	Venezia - Virtus Bologna	75:81 ✺
Euroleague
08.01.26	Panathinaikos - Virtus Bologna	84:71 ✺
06.01.26	Virtus Bologna - Žalgiris Kaunas	83:79 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWWLW
- Fenerbahçe Basketball
Turkish Basketball Super Ligi
18.01.26	Fenerbahçe - Tofaş	90:82 ✺
Euroleague
16.01.26	Fenerbahçe - Valencia	82:79 ✺
Turkish Basketball Super Ligi
11.01.26	Fenerbahçe - Bahcesehir Koleji	89:58 ✺
Euroleague
08.01.26	Dubai - Fenerbahçe	92:81 ✺
06.01.26	Fenerbahçe - Olympiacos Piraeus	88:80 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Euroleague
25.11.25	Fenerbahçe - Virtus Bologna	66:64
31.01.25	Fenerbahçe - Virtus Bologna	95:81
20.11.24	Virtus Bologna - Fenerbahçe	82:86
25.01.24	Fenerbahçe - Virtus Bologna	88:75
23.11.23	Virtus Bologna - Fenerbahçe	87:79
03.03.23	Fenerbahçe - Virtus Bologna	104:72
30.12.22	Virtus Bologna - Fenerbahçe	92:88

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