Match Info

Lega A - Round 14

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Segafredo Arena (Bologna)

Referee: Pepponi G. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Greece	COSMOTE Sport 6
Italy	LBA TV
Poland	Polsat Sport 3
Slovenia	Arena Sport 4


	Virtus Bologna		Trapani

	1	2
			Watch
	1.11	6.25
	1.11	5.79	Watch
	1.11	6.5
	1.07	6.17	Watch
	1.11	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.1 ↓ (1.11)	6.14 ↑ (6)

The most likely Over/Under: 167.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-12)

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Virtus Bologna
84.8%

Trapani
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

84.4%

15.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Virtus Bologna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Trapani has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Virtus Bologna - Trapani Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 90:78

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Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Lega A (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Lega A (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Trapani may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Virtus Bologna is the clear favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Virtus Bologna won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 190:184. (average 95:92).

Including home match between the teams, Virtus Bologna won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 101:96.

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
1	Virtus Bologna	2	2	0	188:158	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Virtus Bologna
Euroleague
02.01.26	Virtus Bologna - Olimpia Milano	97:85 ✺
Italian Lega A Basketball
29.12.25	Trieste - Virtus Bologna	66:74 ✺
Euroleague
26.12.25	Virtus Bologna - Olympiacos Piraeus	94:97 ✺
Italian Lega A Basketball
22.12.25	Virtus Bologna - Basket Brescia	86:76 ✺
Euroleague
19.12.25	Crvena Zvezda - Virtus Bologna	90:89 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWLWL
- Pallacanestro Trapani
Italian Lega A Basketball
28.12.25	Trapani - Varese	88:95 ✺
21.12.25	Dinamo Sassari - Trapani	102:78 ✺
Champions League Basketball
16.12.25	Tofaş - Trapani	99:93 OT ✺
Italian Lega A Basketball
14.12.25	Trapani - Udine	91:73 ✺
Champions League Basketball
10.12.25	Canarias - Trapani	80:83 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Lega A Basketball
11.05.25	Virtus Bologna - Trapani	101:96 OT
28.09.24	Trapani - Virtus Bologna	88:89

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