Match Info

Premier League - Night 11 - Quarter-finals

Date: 17 April 2025, Thursday

Location: Ahoy Rotterdam (Rotterdam)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Fox Sports 505
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2
Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	L'Equipe
Germany	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, Sport 1
Hungary	Sport 1
Iceland	Viaplay
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Slovakia	Voyo
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Extra
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports+
World	PDC TV


	Chris Dobey		Luke Humphries

	1	2
	3.2	1.36
	3.25	1.33
	2.95	1.32
	3.17	1.34
	3.1	1.31
	3.3	1.33
	3.13	1.34
	2.95	1.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.13 ↑ (3.07)	1.33 (1.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chris Dobey
29.8%

Luke Humphries
70.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.2%

69.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.1%

71.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chris Dobey has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Luke Humphries has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chris Dobey than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luke Humphries than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Chris Dobey - Luke Humphries Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Humphries will win (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:6

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Preview

Dobey is ranked World Ranking: 9. Humphries is ranked World Ranking: 1.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Dobey won 2.

Recent matches Dobey is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Humphries in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Dobey could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Humphries is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Humphries to win the game is with odds 1.34.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Dobey won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 37:35 (average 4.6:4.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chris Dobey
Darts
10.04.25	Chris Dobey - Michael Van Gerwen	4:6 ✺
05.04.25	Chris Dobey - Wessel Nijman	3:6 ✺
03.04.25	Chris Dobey - Luke Littler	6:2 ✺
31.03.25	Chris Dobey - Dom Taylor	6:3 ✺
27.03.25	Luke Humphries - Chris Dobey	6:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 LLWWL
- Luke Humphries
Darts
10.04.25	Stephen Bunting - Luke Humphries	1:6 ✺
08.04.25	Luke Humphries - Michael Mansell	6:4 ✺
06.04.25	Luke Humphries - Wessel Nijman	6:3 ✺
06.04.25	Luke Humphries - Ross Smith	6:2 ✺
05.04.25	Luke Humphries - Dirk van Duijvenbode	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Darts
27.03.25	Luke Humphries - Chris Dobey	6:3
13.02.25	Luke Humphries - Chris Dobey	6:4
31.07.24	Luke Humphries - Chris Dobey	4:6
27.05.23	Luke Humphries - Chris Dobey	6:5
28.01.23	Luke Humphries - Chris Dobey	8:10
03.10.22	Chris Dobey - Luke Humphries	2:0 best of 5 sets
30.12.21	Chris Dobey - Luke Humphries	3:4 best of 5 sets

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