Match Info

European Tour 5 - 1/8-finals

Date: 27 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Premstattner Halle (Graz)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Iceland	Viaplay
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Chris Dobey		Wessel Nijman

	1	2
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.72	2
	1.69	1.97
	1.74	2.09
	1.69	2.03	Watch
	1.73	2.1
	1.71	2.06
	1.67	1.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.73)	2.04 ↓ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chris Dobey
54.4%

Wessel Nijman
45.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.8%

45.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6%

52.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chris Dobey has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Wessel Nijman has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chris Dobey than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chris Dobey that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wessel Nijman than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Wessel Nijman could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Chris Dobey - Wessel Nijman Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Dobey (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 6:4

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Preview

Dobey is ranked World Ranking: 10. Nijman is ranked World Ranking: 46.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Dobey won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:12 (average 4:6).

Last Results with these Odds

Chris Dobey - the odds 1.73 are the expected chance of winning is 54.83%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chris Dobey
Darts
26.04.25	Chris Dobey - Ricardo Pietreczko	6:1 ✺
24.04.25	Gerwyn Price - Chris Dobey	6:2 ✺
17.04.25	Chris Dobey - Nathan Aspinall	6:2 ✺
17.04.25	Chris Dobey - Luke Humphries	6:3 ✺
10.04.25	Chris Dobey - Michael Van Gerwen	4:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WLWWL
- Wessel Nijman
Darts
26.04.25	Mike De Decker - Wessel Nijman	4:6 ✺
25.04.25	Wessel Nijman - William OConnor	6:4 ✺
19.04.25	Wessel Nijman - Scott Williams	4:6 ✺
15.04.25	Wessel Nijman - Gabriel Clemens	6:5 ✺
06.04.25	Luke Humphries - Wessel Nijman	6:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Darts
05.04.25	Chris Dobey - Wessel Nijman	3:6
28.09.24	Chris Dobey - Wessel Nijman	5:6

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