Match Info

UK Open - Second stage - 1/16-finals

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Butlin's Minehead Resort (Minehead)


	Kai Gotthard		Michael Van Gerwen

	1	2
	6	1.13	Watch
	5	1.11
	5.14	1.11
	5.5	1.14
	5.75	1.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.48 ↑ (4.28)	1.12 ↓ (1.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 15.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kai Gotthard
16.9%

Michael Van Gerwen
83.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.8%

78.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kai Gotthard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Michael Van Gerwen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Kai Gotthard - Michael Van Gerwen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:10

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Preview

Gotthard is ranked World Ranking: 100. Van Gerwen is ranked World Ranking: 4.

Van Gerwen has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Van Gerwen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Van Gerwen is a strong favorite.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Michael Van Gerwen - the odds 1.2 are the expected chance of winning is 78.16%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kai Gotthard
Darts
06.03.26	Kai Gotthard - Tom Sykes	10:8 ✺
06.03.26	Niko Springer - Kai Gotthard	4:6 ✺
06.03.26	Kai Gotthard - Daniel Lee	6:4 ✺
01.10.25	Kai Gotthard - Martin Lukeman	0:6 ✺
30.09.25	Kai Gotthard - Christian Kist	4:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WWWLL
- Michael Van Gerwen
Darts
06.03.26	Michael Van Gerwen - Nathan Aspinall	10:8 ✺
05.03.26	Michael Van Gerwen - Luke Humphries	1:6 ✺
26.02.26	Michael Van Gerwen - Gerwyn Price	5:6 ✺
19.02.26	Michael Van Gerwen - Luke Littler	Littler L. ✺
12.02.26	Michael Van Gerwen - Josh Rock	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WLL?W

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