Match Info

European Tour 2 - 1/16-finals

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Lokhalle (Gottingen)


	Michael Van Gerwen		Niels Zonneveld

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.45	2.55
	1.41	2.62	Watch
	1.5	2.6
	1.42	2.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↑ (1.4)	2.64 ↓ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Michael Van Gerwen
64.6%

Niels Zonneveld
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.4%

34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.4%

35.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Michael Van Gerwen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Niels Zonneveld has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Michael Van Gerwen than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Niels Zonneveld than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Michael Van Gerwen - Niels Zonneveld Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 6:3

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Preview

Van Gerwen is ranked World Ranking: 4. Zonneveld is ranked World Ranking: 40.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Van Gerwen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Van Gerwen might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Michael Van Gerwen
Darts
12.03.26	Jonny Clayton - Michael Van Gerwen	6:3 ✺
07.03.26	Michael Van Gerwen - James Wade	3:10 ✺
07.03.26	Kai Gotthard - Michael Van Gerwen	6:10 ✺
06.03.26	Michael Van Gerwen - Nathan Aspinall	10:8 ✺
05.03.26	Michael Van Gerwen - Luke Humphries	1:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLWWL
- Niels Zonneveld
Darts
13.03.26	Niels Zonneveld - Keane Barry	6:1 ✺
06.03.26	Daryl Gurney - Niels Zonneveld	10:7 ✺
21.02.26	Stephen Bunting - Niels Zonneveld	6:4 ✺
20.02.26	Niels Zonneveld - Piotr Maciejczak	6:2 ✺
29.01.26	Gary Anderson - Niels Zonneveld	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLLWL

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