Match Info

WORLD: WORLD MATCHPLAY - FINAL

Date: 23 July 2023, Sunday

Location: Winter Gardens (Blackpool)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Nathan Aspinall		Jonny Clayton

	1	2
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2.1	1.72
	2.15	1.7
	2.14	1.71
	2.13	1.73
	2.1	1.73
	2.12	1.72
	2.08	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (2.12)	1.72 ↑ (1.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 31.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nathan Aspinall
44.8%

Jonny Clayton
55.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

55.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.6%

53.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nathan Aspinall has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Jonny Clayton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nathan Aspinall than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jonny Clayton than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Nathan Aspinall - Jonny Clayton Predictions

Users Predictions: Jonny Clayton will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 15:18

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Aspinall won 1.

Aspinall is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Clayton is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Aspinall could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Our prediction for today's Clayton to win the game is with odds 1.71.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Aspinall won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 54-47.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nathan Aspinall
Darts
22.07.23	Nathan Aspinall - Joe Cullen	17:9 ✺
20.07.23	Chris Dobey - Nathan Aspinall	12:16 ✺
18.07.23	Danny Noppert - Nathan Aspinall	9:11 ✺
16.07.23	Nathan Aspinall - Krzysztof Ratajski	10:7 ✺
08.07.23	Gerwyn Price - Nathan Aspinall	6:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWWWL
- Jonny Clayton
Darts
22.07.23	Jonny Clayton - Luke Humphries	17:15 ✺
21.07.23	Ryan Searle - Jonny Clayton	12:16 ✺
19.07.23	Jonny Clayton - Dimitri van den Bergh	11:6 ✺
17.07.23	Jonny Clayton - Gabriel Clemens	10:8 ✺
10.07.23	Jonny Clayton - John Henderson	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Darts
18.05.23	Jonny Clayton - Nathan Aspinall	1:6
06.04.23	Nathan Aspinall - Jonny Clayton	4:6
23.02.23	Jonny Clayton - Nathan Aspinall	6:4
07.05.21	Jonny Clayton - Nathan Aspinall	8:6 best of 14 legs
20.04.21	Nathan Aspinall - Jonny Clayton	6:6 best of 12 legs
05.06.20	Jonny Clayton - Nathan Aspinall	4:6 best of 11 legs
04.06.20	Nathan Aspinall - Jonny Clayton	6:5 best of 11 legs

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