Match Info

EUROPE: European Tour 2 - Quarter-finals

Date: 23 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Lokhalle (Gottingen)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	Sport 1
Hungary	Net4+
Iceland	Viaplay
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay
World	PDC TV


	Nathan Aspinall		Luke Humphries

	1	2
	3.4	1.33
	3.05	1.3
			Watch
	3.3	1.33
	3.13	1.34
	3.05	1.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.19 ↑ (3.19)	1.32 (1.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nathan Aspinall
29.3%

Luke Humphries
70.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7%

69.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Nathan Aspinall have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Luke Humphries have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nathan Aspinall than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luke Humphries than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Nathan Aspinall - Luke Humphries Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:6

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Preview

Aspinall is ranked World Ranking: 12. Humphries is ranked World Ranking: 1.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Aspinall won 1.

Both players are now playing unstable.

In this match Humphries is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Humphries to win the game is with odds 1.32.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Aspinall won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 62:72 (average 4.8:5.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Luke Humphries - the odds 1.32 are the expected chance of winning is 70.71%, but this team recently wins 91% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nathan Aspinall
Darts
23.03.25	Nathan Aspinall - Jermaine Wattimena	6:5 ✺
22.03.25	Nathan Aspinall - Ritchie Edhouse	6:5 ✺
20.03.25	Luke Littler - Nathan Aspinall	6:3 ✺
13.03.25	Nathan Aspinall - Michael Van Gerwen	4:6 ✺
08.03.25	Nathan Aspinall - Ritchie Edhouse	5:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWLLL
- Luke Humphries
Darts
23.03.25	Luke Humphries - Michael Smith	6:5 ✺
22.03.25	Luke Humphries - Boris Krcmar	6:4 ✺
20.03.25	Luke Humphries - Michael Van Gerwen	4:6 ✺
13.03.25	Luke Humphries - Luke Littler	4:6 ✺
08.03.25	Luke Humphries - Mike De Decker	4:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Darts
06.02.25	Nathan Aspinall - Luke Humphries	2:6
17.01.25	Luke Humphries - Nathan Aspinall	6:5
25.10.24	Luke Humphries - Nathan Aspinall	6:2
01.06.24	Luke Humphries - Nathan Aspinall	6:5
25.04.24	Luke Humphries - Nathan Aspinall	2:6
29.02.24	Luke Humphries - Nathan Aspinall	5:6
15.02.24	Nathan Aspinall - Luke Humphries	3:6

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