Match Info
Premier League - Night 16 - Quarter-finalsDate: 22 May 2025, ThursdayLocation: Utilita Arena Sheffield (Sheffield)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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Australia | Fox Sports 506 |
Czech-republic | Nova Sport 2 |
Denmark | TV3 Sport, Viaplay |
Finland | Viaplay |
Germany | DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, Sport 1 |
Hungary | Sport 1 |
Iceland | Viaplay |
Netherlands | Viaplay |
Norway | Viaplay |
Poland | Viaplay |
Slovakia | Voyo |
Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Extra |
United-kingdom | Sky Sports Action, Sky Sports Main Event |
World | PDC TV |
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Nathan Aspinall |
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Michael Van Gerwen |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
2 |
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1.8 |
Watch |
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2 |
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1.78 |
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 |
1.92 |
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1.72 |
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 |
2.04 |
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1.78 |
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 |
1.91 |
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1.8 |
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2 |
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1.8 |
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 |
1.97 |
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1.79 |
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 |
1.92 |
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1.72 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.97 ↑ (1.95) |
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1.77 ↑ (1.76) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 9.50
- The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Nathan Aspinall 47.4% | Michael Van Gerwen 52.6% |
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Nathan Aspinall have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.The chances for Michael Van Gerwen have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nathan Aspinall than the current prediction. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michael Van Gerwen than the current prediction. (+0.2%)Nathan Aspinall - Michael Van Gerwen Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Aspinall will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Van Gerwen will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Aspinall (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Van Gerwen (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:6 
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Preview
Aspinall is ranked World Ranking: 10. Van Gerwen is ranked World Ranking: 3.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aspinall won 3.Aspinall has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).Van Gerwen is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).Aspinall may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aspinall won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 125:141. (average 6.3:7.1).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Darts | | | 15.05.25 | Michael Van Gerwen - Nathan Aspinall | 3:6 | | 10.04.25 | Michael Van Gerwen - Nathan Aspinall | 2:6 | | 27.03.25 | Michael Van Gerwen - Nathan Aspinall | 5:6 | | 13.03.25 | Nathan Aspinall - Michael Van Gerwen | 4:6 | | 11.04.24 | Michael Van Gerwen - Nathan Aspinall | 6:4 | | 08.02.24 | Nathan Aspinall - Michael Van Gerwen | 4:6 | | 20.04.23 | Michael Van Gerwen - Nathan Aspinall | 5:6 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;