Match Info

Inssi-Divari - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 9 March 2026, Monday


	Josba Joensuu		Karhut

	1	X	2
	3.5	5.1	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.5 (3.5)	5.1 (5.1)	1.65 (1.65)

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Josba Joensuu
26.3%

Draw
18%

Karhut
55.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.2%

18.6%

53.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Josba Joensuu have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Karhut have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Josba Joensuu than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karhut than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
10:45, Vanhatalo E. (G), Hono A. (A),
2nd Period (0 - 1)
18:17, Hono A. (G), Haanpaa M. (A),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
12:04, Piironen L. (G), Korhonen E. (A),

Preview

Karhut leads series 2-1. Fourth leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Josba won 1.

Recent form of Josba has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Karhut is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Karhut is the team to beat.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Josba won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 75:90. (average 4.4:5.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Josba won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 39:40. (average 4.9:5).

Standings

		Pl	W	W	W	L	L	L		Pts
8	Karhut	5	2	0	0	1	0	2	27:34	7
14	Josba	4	1	0	0	0	0	3	19:20	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Josba Joensuu
Finnish Divari
08.03.26	Karhut - Josba Joensuu	6:3 ✺
06.03.26	Josba Joensuu - Karhut	3:5 ✺
04.03.26	Karhut - Josba Joensuu	1:2 ✺
01.03.26	SB Vantaa - Josba Joensuu	8:5 ✺
21.02.26	Josba Joensuu - Kirkkonummi Rangers	5:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LLWLL
- FBT Karhut
Finnish Divari
08.03.26	Karhut - Josba Joensuu	6:3 ✺
06.03.26	Josba Joensuu - Karhut	3:5 ✺
04.03.26	Karhut - Josba Joensuu	1:2 ✺
01.03.26	Nibacos Kokkola - Karhut	3:5 ✺
22.02.26	Karhut - Wirmo	8:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Divari
08.03.26	Karhut - Josba Joensuu	6:3
06.03.26	Josba Joensuu - Karhut	3:5
04.03.26	Karhut - Josba Joensuu	1:2
17.01.26	Josba Joensuu - Karhut	2:9
11.10.25	Karhut - Josba Joensuu	9:3
08.02.25	Josba Joensuu - Karhut	3:5
09.11.24	Karhut - Josba Joensuu	3:4

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