Match Info

Inssi-Divari - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday


	Karhut		Josba Joensuu

	1	X	2
	1.42	5.3	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.45)	5.3 ↓ (5.66)	4.4 ↓ (4.5)

The best margin for this event is 12%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karhut
62.9%

Draw
16.8%

Josba Joensuu
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.4%

16.2%

20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.4%

16.7%

21.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karhut has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Josba Joensuu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karhut than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Josba Joensuu than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (3 - 1)
02:34, Karhapaa E. (G), Vallius N. (A),
09:00, Annila E. (G), Huhtala T. (A),
09:21, Vanhatalo E. (G), Kuusiluoto J. (A),
16:30, Huhtala T. (G), Jerkku T. (A),
2nd Period (1 - 2)
11:02, Korhonen E. (G), Tahka R. (A),
13:08, Korhonen E. (G), Hiltunen Joni (A),
18:44, Haanpaa M. (G), Vanhatalo E. (A),
3rd Period (2 - 0)
17:27, Halminen J. (G),
19:34, Jerkku T. (G), Aallonen H. (A),

Preview

Series tied 1-1. Third leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Karhut won 4.

Karhut is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Josba has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Josba may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Karhut is seen as the favorite.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Karhut won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 84:72. (average 5.3:4.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Karhut won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 44:33. (average 5.5:4.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	W	W	L	L	L		Pts
8	Karhut	5	2	0	0	1	0	2	27:34	7
14	Josba	4	1	0	0	0	0	3	19:20	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FBT Karhut
Finnish Divari
06.03.26	Josba Joensuu - Karhut	3:5 ✺
04.03.26	Karhut - Josba Joensuu	1:2 ✺
01.03.26	Nibacos Kokkola - Karhut	3:5 ✺
22.02.26	Karhut - Wirmo	8:3 ✺
15.02.26	Karhut - O2-Jyväskylä	10:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WLWWW
- Josba Joensuu
Finnish Divari
06.03.26	Josba Joensuu - Karhut	3:5 ✺
04.03.26	Karhut - Josba Joensuu	1:2 ✺
01.03.26	SB Vantaa - Josba Joensuu	8:5 ✺
21.02.26	Josba Joensuu - Kirkkonummi Rangers	5:6 ✺
14.02.26	Josba Joensuu - Wirmo	8:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Divari
06.03.26	Josba Joensuu - Karhut	3:5
04.03.26	Karhut - Josba Joensuu	1:2
17.01.26	Josba Joensuu - Karhut	2:9
11.10.25	Karhut - Josba Joensuu	9:3
08.02.25	Josba Joensuu - Karhut	3:5
09.11.24	Karhut - Josba Joensuu	3:4
15.10.23	Karhut - Josba Joensuu	5:7

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