Match Info

Liga Nacional - Round 18

Date: 3 March 2026, Tuesday


	Castell de Peñiscola		Noia

	1	X	2
	1.85	4.75	2.5
	1.55	5.2	3.95
	1.88	5.34	2.65	Watch
	1.55	4.95	3.94	Watch
	1.94	4.6	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.88)	4.97 ↓ (5.34)	3.15 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Castell de Peñiscola
52.3%

Draw
18.5%

Noia
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.5%

17.1%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castell de Peñiscola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Noia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Noia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Castell de Peñiscola - Noia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:4

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Acosta L. (G)	25. Schutt (G)
16. Araya B.	77. Lemos R.
18. Elias	24. Lopez I.
7. Ferreira M.	5. Montero D.
19. Munoz P.	20. Pazos D.
Substitutes
6. Flores L.	7. Altamirano L.
12. Gonzalez G. (G)	16. Biel
10. Juanico	31. Churrasco
14. Perez V.	11. Diego Favero
5. Plaza A.	18. Douglas S.
21. Rosental N.	3. Guilherme Lima
11. Saladie C.	10. Macedo T.
20. Sancho D.	21. Peixe (G)
	23. Thierry

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
7', Pazos D. (G),
8', Douglas S. 🟨,
9', Saladie C. (G),
12', Biel (G),
13', Biel 🟨,
15', Thierry (G),
16', Elias 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
39', Douglas S. (G),
39', Douglas S. (G),
40', Lemos R. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peñiscola won 5.

Peñiscola could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Peñiscola won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 25:11. (average 3.6:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Peñiscola won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:4. (average 3.7:1.3).

Standings

Apertura

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
8	Noia	4	2	1	1	12:11	7
13	Peniscola	5	1	1	3	15:20	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Castell de Peñiscola
Spanish Primera Division Futsal
28.02.26	Castell de Peñiscola - Xota	2:2 ✺
21.02.26	Jaén Paraíso Interior - Castell de Peñiscola	4:4 ✺
10.01.26	Manzanares - Castell de Peñiscola	5:3 ✺
07.01.26	Castell de Peñiscola - Alzira	6:5 ✺
Spanish Supercopa Futsal
03.01.26	Cartagena - Castell de Peñiscola	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TTLWL
- Noia FS
Spanish Primera Division Futsal
27.02.26	Noia - Santa Coloma	3:4 ✺
21.02.26	Noia - ElPozo Murcia	3:4 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey Futsal
18.02.26	Noia - Valdepeñas	4:5 penalties ✺
Spanish Primera Division Futsal
10.01.26	Noia - Ribera Navarra	4:1 ✺
07.01.26	Cartagena - Noia	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera Division Futsal
01.11.25	Noia - Castell de Peñiscola	1:2
19.02.25	Noia - Castell de Peñiscola	2:5
16.11.24	Castell de Peñiscola - Noia	2:0
02.03.24	Castell de Peñiscola - Noia	5:3
18.10.23	Noia - Castell de Peñiscola	2:5
Spanish Segunda Division Futsal
12.03.22	Noia - Castell de Peñiscola	2:2
06.11.21	Castell de Peñiscola - Noia	4:1

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