Match Info

Liga Nacional - Round 20

Date: 27 February 2026, Friday


	Noia		Santa Coloma

	1	X	2
	1.69	5.6	3.15
	1.67	5.92	3.05	Watch
	1.72	5.4	3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.67)	5.64 ↓ (5.92)	3.07 ↑ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Noia
54%

Draw
16.2%

Santa Coloma
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.7%

15.4%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

80.6%

22.7%

20.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Noia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Santa Coloma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Noia than the current prediction. (+26.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Noia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Coloma than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Santa Coloma, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Noia - Santa Coloma Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:5

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Schutt (G)	22. Joao Frezzato (G)
16. Biel	11. Leandrinho
77. Lemos R.	2. Povill
5. Montero D.	10. Ramos V.
20. Pazos D. (C)	3. Tolra M.
Substitutes
7. Altamirano L.	24. Aldoma A.
31. Churrasco	17. Corso S. (C)
11. Diego Favero	25. Ferreyra Marcos (G)
18. Douglas S.	33. Harada K.
3. Guilherme Lima	28. Medina L.
24. Lopez I.	18. Niello B.
10. Macedo T.	12. Puigvert
21. Peixe (G)
23. Thierry

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
9', Churrasco (G),
9', Lopez I. (G),
13', Corso S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 4)
22', Tolra M. (G),
29', Puigvert (G),
31', Puigvert (G),
38', Thierry (G),
39', Tolra M. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Noia won 3.

Recent performances by Noia have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Santa Coloma is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Noia has had a series of home games.

Noia might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Noia won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:27. (average 2.7:3.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Noia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:10. (average 3:3.3).

Standings

Apertura

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
8	Noia	4	2	1	1	12:11	7
14	Ind. Santa Coloma	5	0	2	3	9:17	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Noia FS
Spanish Primera Division Futsal
21.02.26	Noia - ElPozo Murcia	3:4 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey Futsal
18.02.26	Noia - Valdepeñas	4:5 penalties ✺
Spanish Primera Division Futsal
10.01.26	Noia - Ribera Navarra	4:1 ✺
07.01.26	Cartagena - Noia	6:1 ✺
27.12.25	Noia - O Parrulo	8:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLWLW
- Industrias Santa Coloma
Spanish Primera Division Futsal
22.02.26	Santa Coloma - Ribera Navarra	4:3 ✺
15.02.26	O Parrulo - Santa Coloma	2:2 ✺
09.01.26	Santa Coloma - Valdepeñas	3:2 ✺
06.01.26	ElPozo Murcia - Santa Coloma	3:1 ✺
27.12.25	Santa Coloma - Cartagena	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera Division Futsal
22.11.25	Santa Coloma - Noia	3:5
01.04.25	Noia - Santa Coloma	4:3
21.12.24	Santa Coloma - Noia	5:3
20.04.24	Noia - Santa Coloma	4:3
18.11.23	Santa Coloma - Noia	3:1
20.05.23	Santa Coloma - Noia	6:1
21.12.22	Noia - Santa Coloma	1:4

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