Match Info

SuperLiga

Date: 12 October 2025, Sunday


	Norilsk		MFK Tyumen

	1	X	2
	1.6	5.25	3.7	Watch
	1.67	4.9	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.71)	5.08 ↓ (5.1)	3.43 ↑ (3.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Norilsk
55.6%

Draw
17.9%

MFK Tyumen
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.9%

18.1%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3%

18.6%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Norilsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

MFK Tyumen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Norilsk than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for MFK Tyumen than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Norilsk - MFK Tyumen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:4

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
8', Kudziev R. (G),
16', Antoshkin A. (G),
16', Felipe A. (G),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
31', Sanosyan V. (G), Krutoy A. (A),
33', Sanosyan V. (G), Krutoy A. (A),
33', Kudziev R. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Norilsky Nickel won 1.

Norilsky Nickel is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Tyumen is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Norilsky Nickel may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Norilsky Nickel has had a series of home games.

Recently, Tyumen has had a series of away games.

Norilsky Nickel could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Norilsky Nickel will win today's game, with odds of 1.7.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Norilsky Nickel won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 10 matches, and goals 68:56. (average 3.4:2.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Norilsky Nickel won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 49:33. (average 4.9:3.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Norilsk
Russian Super Liga Futsal
11.10.25	Norilsk - MFK Tyumen	5:6 penalties ✺
01.10.25	Norilsk - Fakel-GTS Surgut	5:1 ✺
30.09.25	Norilsk - Fakel-GTS Surgut	3:0 ✺
27.09.25	Norilsk - IrAero Irkutsk	6:2 ✺
26.09.25	Norilsk - IrAero Irkutsk	6:5 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWWWW
- MFK Tyumen
Russian Super Liga Futsal
11.10.25	Norilsk - MFK Tyumen	5:6 penalties ✺
06.10.25	Fakel-GTS Surgut - MFK Tyumen	1:2 ✺
05.10.25	Fakel-GTS Surgut - MFK Tyumen	2:5 ✺
02.10.25	IrAero Irkutsk - MFK Tyumen	1:3 ✺
01.10.25	IrAero Irkutsk - MFK Tyumen	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Russian Super Liga Futsal
11.10.25	Norilsk - MFK Tyumen	5:6 penalties
17.05.25	MFK Tyumen - Norilsk	3:2
16.05.25	MFK Tyumen - Norilsk	3:1
11.05.25	Norilsk - MFK Tyumen	1:3
10.05.25	Norilsk - MFK Tyumen	6:2
Russian Cup Futsal
05.04.25	Norilsk - MFK Tyumen	5:4
15.03.25	MFK Tyumen - Norilsk	1:1

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