Match Info

HMNL - Round 10

Date: 3 January 2026, Saturday


	Rijeka		Crnica

	1	X	2
	1.32	5.8	6
	1.45	5.81	4.45	Watch
	1.32	5.7	6.02
	1.42	5.33	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.45)	5.66 ↓ (5.81)	5.24 ↑ (4.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rijeka
66.4%

Draw
16.2%

Crnica
17.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.5%

15.8%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.2%

15.2%

19.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rijeka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Crnica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rijeka than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crnica than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Rijeka - Crnica Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Rijeka will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Rijeka (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
2nd Half (0 - 1)

Preview

Rijeka is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Crnica has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Crnica may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Rijeka is considered a favorite.

We predict that Rijeka will win today's game, with odds of 1.38.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Rijeka won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:14. (average 2.7:4.7).

Including home match between the teams, Rijeka won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
4	Rijeka	3	2	0	1	15:11	6
7	Crnica	3	1	0	2	9:8	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HMNK Rijeka
Croatian 1 HMNL
26.12.25	Rijeka - Futsal Dinamo	6:3 ✺
12.12.25	Novo Vrijeme Makarska - Rijeka	3:3 ✺
29.11.25	Rijeka - Square Dubrovnik	9:6 ✺
21.11.25	Torcida Split - Rijeka	3:6 ✺
16.11.25	Pula - Rijeka	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 WTWWW
- MNK Crnica
Croatian 1 HMNL
27.12.25	Pula - Crnica	1:3 ✺
13.12.25	Crnica - Vrgorac	3:1 ✺
29.11.25	Olmissum - Crnica	4:2 ✺
22.11.25	Crnica - Osijek	0:1 ✺
15.11.25	Crnica - Torcida Split	3:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Croatian 1 HMNL
05.10.25	Crnica - Rijeka	7:4
14.03.25	Crnica - Rijeka	3:2
21.12.24	Rijeka - Crnica	2:4

Rijeka - Crnica: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide