Match Info

Starligue - Round 15

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Sports 3


	Fenix Toulouse		USAM Nimes

	1	X	2
	1.55	8	3.3
	1.5	9.4	3.1
	1.52	7.88	3.24	Watch
	1.44	8	3.2
	1.55	9.2	3.04	Watch
	1.52	7.5	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↑ (1.46)	8.33 ↓ (9.74)	3.21 (3.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 59.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fenix Toulouse
60.5%

Draw
11%

USAM Nimes
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.3%

9.3%

28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.6%

8.7%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fenix Toulouse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

USAM Nimes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fenix Toulouse than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for USAM Nimes than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	0%	88.9%

Fenix Toulouse - USAM Nimes Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Toulouse will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Nimes will win (votes: 8 - 88.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nimes: 68.4% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): USAM Nimes will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 31:29

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toulouse won 1.

Toulouse has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Nimes is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Toulouse may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Toulouse has had a series of away games.

In this match, Toulouse is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toulouse won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 617:627. (average 30.9:31.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Toulouse won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 329:326. (average 29.9:29.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fenix Toulouse
French Starligue Handball
13.12.25	Dijon - Fenix Toulouse	29:31 ✺
Coupe de France Handball
10.12.25	Chambery SH - Fenix Toulouse	34:29 ✺
French Starligue Handball
07.12.25	Fenix Toulouse - Montpellier HB	27:33 ✺
EHF European League
02.12.25	Vardar - Fenix Toulouse	37:35 ✺
French Starligue Handball
28.11.25	Limoges - Fenix Toulouse	30:35 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLLLW
- USAM Nimes
French Starligue Handball
13.12.25	USAM Nimes - Chambery SH	35:34 ✺
Coupe de France Handball
09.12.25	Massy Essonne - USAM Nimes	20:35 ✺
French Starligue Handball
05.12.25	Pays dAix - USAM Nimes	32:26 ✺
28.11.25	USAM Nimes - Dijon	24:21 ✺
21.11.25	Limoges - USAM Nimes	33:33 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

French Starligue Handball
21.02.25	Fenix Toulouse - USAM Nimes	25:25
30.11.24	USAM Nimes - Fenix Toulouse	36:29
08.03.24	Fenix Toulouse - USAM Nimes	38:28
09.12.23	USAM Nimes - Fenix Toulouse	34:27
02.04.23	Fenix Toulouse - USAM Nimes	32:34
11.12.22	USAM Nimes - Fenix Toulouse	37:38
21.05.22	Fenix Toulouse - USAM Nimes	26:35

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