Match Info

HLA - Relegation Group - Round 5

Date: 29 May 2026, Friday


	Tirol		HSG Graz

	1	X	2
	1.47	7.8	3.45
	1.41	8.02	3.8	Watch
	1.4	8.5	3.4
	1.44	9.5	3.5	Watch
	1.42	8	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↑ (1.39)	8.36 ↑ (7.72)	3.51 ↓ (3.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 60.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tirol
63.4%

Draw
10.8%

HSG Graz
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.2%

11.6%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.8%

12.2%

25.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tirol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

HSG Graz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tirol than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for HSG Graz than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Tirol - HSG Graz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 32:29

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tirol won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Tirol is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tirol won 10 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 579:559. (average 29:28).

Including home matches between the teams, Tirol won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 261:248. (average 29:27.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
3	Handball Tirol	5	4	0	1	152:149	8
5	HSG Graz	5	3	0	2	163:166	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Handball Tirol
Austrian NLA Handball
23.05.26	Bregenz - Tirol	34:33 ✺
09.05.26	Tirol - Hollabrunn	36:28 ✺
05.05.26	HSG Graz - Tirol	27:23 ✺
01.05.26	Tirol - Bregenz	39:36 ✺
18.04.26	Tirol - Fivers Margareten	28:32 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LWLWL
- HSG Graz
Austrian NLA Handball
23.05.26	HSG Graz - Hollabrunn	35:30 ✺
09.05.26	Bregenz - HSG Graz	33:29 ✺
05.05.26	HSG Graz - Tirol	27:23 ✺
02.05.26	Hollabrunn - HSG Graz	23:21 ✺
18.04.26	HSG Graz - Vöslauer	35:39 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Austrian NLA Handball
05.05.26	HSG Graz - Tirol	27:23
27.03.26	HSG Graz - Tirol	29:28
Austrian OHB Cup
18.02.26	HSG Graz - Tirol	37:39
Austrian NLA Handball
07.11.25	Tirol - HSG Graz	34:33
21.12.24	Tirol - HSG Graz	23:29
13.09.24	HSG Graz - Tirol	32:31
15.12.23	HSG Graz - Tirol	29:30

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