Match Info

SPAIN: DIVISION DE HONOR PLATA - ROUND 23

Date: 9 March 2024, Saturday


	Villa de Aranda		Barcelona II

	1	X	2
	2.26	7.8	1.88
	2.33	8.2	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↓ (2.72)	8 ↑ (7.5)	1.91 ↑ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 57.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villa de Aranda
40.1%

Draw
11.5%

Barcelona II
48.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.6%

12.2%

54.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5%

12.2%

54.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villa de Aranda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Villa de Aranda's performance.

Barcelona II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Barcelona II might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villa de Aranda than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Villa de Aranda that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona II than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Barcelona II could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Villa de Aranda - Barcelona II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:30

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Villa de Aranda won 2.

Recent matches Villa de Aranda is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Barcelona II in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Barcelona II will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Barcelona II to win the game is with odds 1.75.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Villa de Aranda won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 217-231.

Including matches at home between the teams Villa de Aranda won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 114-114.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Villa de Aranda
Spanish Division de Honor Plata Handball
03.03.24	Burgos - Villa de Aranda	25:24 ✺
24.02.24	Villa de Aranda - Atlético Novás	24:18 ✺
17.02.24	Oviedo - Villa de Aranda	27:29 ✺
11.02.24	Villa de Aranda - Quabit Guadalajara	29:30 ✺
03.02.24	Antequera - Villa de Aranda	27:21 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWWLL
- Barcelona Handball II
Spanish Division de Honor Plata Handball
02.03.24	Barcelona II - Balonmano Ciudad de Málaga	29:28 ✺
24.02.24	Zamora - Barcelona II	28:32 ✺
17.02.24	Barcelona II - Agustinos Alicante	34:26 ✺
10.02.24	Cisne - Barcelona II	22:28 ✺
03.02.24	Barcelona II - Caserio Ciudad Real	28:25 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Division de Honor Plata Handball
11.11.23	Barcelona II - Villa de Aranda	25:21
27.05.23	Villa de Aranda - Barcelona II	35:35
22.04.23	Barcelona II - Villa de Aranda	38:36
02.11.19	Villa de Aranda - Barcelona II	29:26
09.03.19	Villa de Aranda - Barcelona II	25:24
03.11.18	Barcelona II - Villa de Aranda	32:31
12.05.18	Barcelona II - Villa de Aranda	22:15

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