Match Info

Liiga

Date: 28 January 2026, Wednesday

Location: Isomäki Areena (Pori)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
Sweden	TV4 Play


	Ässät		KooKoo

	1	X	2
	3	4.5	1.95
	2.95	4.16	2.12	Watch
	2.87	3.57	2.19
	2.91	3.78	2.19	Watch
	2.7	3.75	2.05
	2.8	4.15	2.15	Watch
	2.8	3.6	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↑ (2.62)	3.93 ↑ (3.81)	2.14 ↓ (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Ässät
32.6%

Draw
23.7%

KooKoo
43.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.7%

24.5%

39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

26.7%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ässät has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

KooKoo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ässät than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ässät, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for KooKoo than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for KooKoo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ässät - KooKoo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

#ad

Lineups

Line 1
30. Bednar J. (G)	34. Randelin E. (G)
37. Maatta R. (A)	43. Loponen K.
25. Boelius L.	41. Berger J.
9. Lipiainen V.	82. Meskanen V.
44. Jarvinen J. (C)	71. Siikonen M. (A)
78. Fabre D.	88. Rooba R. (A)
Line 2
67. Puutio K. (A)	28. Ahlroth J.
3. Anttalainen A.	42. Suomi J.
88. Olofsson J.	10. Sulku S.
14. Sebok B.	20. Valkeejarvi S.
18. Ylitalo O.	24. Miettinen V.
Line 3
8. Viljanen V.	77. Puhakka V.
10. Nilsson O.	17. Grondahl A.
16. Noiva N.	22. Luoto O.
19. Juhola P.	13. Paajanen O. (C)
47. Tammela J.	11. Mazura T.
Line 4
55. Riihinen P.	7. Parssinen J.
63. Kostilainen S.	15. Jaakola O.
86. Knihti F.	27. Makinen A.
92. Alasiurua A.	55. Gallo V.
Substitutes
39. Lindberg F. (G)	32. Jatkola J. (G)
Coaches
. Pikkarainen J.	. Myrra J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
09:56, 0 - 1, Mazura T. (G), Luoto O. (A), Paajanen O. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 3)
00:41, 0 - 2, Sulku S. (G), Miettinen V. (A),
01:32, 1 - 2, Tammela J. (G), Juhola P. (A), Noiva N. (A2)
07:51, Olofsson J. (2 min),
08:13, 1 - 3, Meskanen V. (G), Siikonen M. (A), Rooba R. (A2)
10:23, Loponen K. (2 min),
11:48, 2 - 3, Olofsson J. (G), Tammela J. (A), Bednar J. (A2)
19:23, 2 - 4, Ahlroth J. (G), Suomi J. (A), Luoto O. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
14:16, Kostilainen S. (2 min),
15:27, 2 - 5, Miettinen V. (G), Meskanen V. (A), Suomi J. (A2)

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ässät won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Ässät may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ässät won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 44:49. (average 2.2:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Ässät won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 21:27. (average 2.1:2.7).

Outrights of Finnish SM-liiga for now

KooKoo: 1.09%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
3	Assat	12	6	1	2	3	30:27	22
17	KooKoo	11	1	0	1	9	22:47	4

Last Results with these Odds

Ässät - the odds 2.62 are the expected chance of winning is 35.66%, but this team recently wins 47% of matches with these odds.

KooKoo - the odds 2.34 are the expected chance of winning is 39.86%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ässät hockey
Finnish SM-liiga
24.01.26	Lukko - Ässät	3:5 ✺
23.01.26	Ässät - Lukko	2:1 OT ✺
17.01.26	Ilves - Ässät	5:1 ✺
16.01.26	Ässät - Ilves	2:1 ✺
10.01.26	Ässät - Tappara	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.5 WWLWL
- KooKoo
Finnish SM-liiga
24.01.26	KooKoo - Kiekko-Espoo	5:1 ✺
17.01.26	KooKoo - Pelicans	1:2 ✺
16.01.26	Kiekko-Espoo - KooKoo	4:2 ✺
14.01.26	HIFK - KooKoo	1:6 ✺
09.01.26	KooKoo - JYP	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-liiga
31.10.25	Ässät - KooKoo	1:2
09.09.25	KooKoo - Ässät	1:5
28.02.25	KooKoo - Ässät	4:3 penalties
13.11.24	Ässät - KooKoo	4:3
30.10.24	Ässät - KooKoo	4:1
09.10.24	KooKoo - Ässät	4:3 penalties
02.03.24	KooKoo - Ässät	4:1

Upcoming Matches