Match Info

SM-sarja U20

Date: 3 October 2025, Friday


	Ässät U20		SaiPa U20

	1	X	2
	1.4	5	4.2
	1.46	4.91	4.29
	1.47	4.9	4.94
	1.45	4.6	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.47)	4.85 ↓ (4.88)	4.58 ↓ (4.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Ässät U20
62%

Draw
18.5%

SaiPa U20
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.8%

18.5%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.7%

17.9%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ässät U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

SaiPa U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ässät U20 than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SaiPa U20 than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Ässät U20 - SaiPa U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
10:04, 0 - 1, Zemlicka R. (G), Svensk V. (A), Zezelj A. (A2)
11:22, 1 - 1, Kim A. (G), Mannisto A. (A), Aijala E. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
03:19, 1 - 2, Farkas O. (G), Zezelj A. (A), Svensk S. (A2)
09:27, 2 - 2, Huhtanen E. (G), Jussila E. (A), Mannisto A. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
12:51, 2 - 3, Moilanen V. (G), Zemlicka R. (A), Kytovaara E. (A2)
19:42, 3 - 3, Aijala E. (G), Pinola T. (A), Heinila E. (A2)
Overtime (1 - 0)
01:22, 4 - 3, Heinila E. (G), Kim A. (A), Kamarainen R. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ässät U20 won 3.

Ässät U20 is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

SaiPa U20 has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Ässät U20 has had a series of away games.

In this match, Ässät U20 is a strong favorite.

We predict that Ässät U20 will win today's game, with odds of 1.44.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Ässät U20 won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 63:51. (average 4.2:3.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Ässät U20 won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 37:28. (average 4.6:3.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ässät U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
28.09.25	RoKi U20 - Ässät U20	1:4 ✺
27.09.25	Kärpät U20 - Ässät U20	1:6 ✺
21.09.25	Ässät U20 - KalPa U20	6:3 ✺
20.09.25	HIFK U20 - Ässät U20	4:3 ✺
13.09.25	TPS U20 - Ässät U20	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WWWLW
- SaiPa U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
28.09.25	SaiPa U20 - Tappara U20	2:1 ✺
27.09.25	Pelicans U20 - SaiPa U20	5:3 ✺
21.09.25	SaiPa U20 - Jokerit U20	1:3 ✺
20.09.25	KooKoo U20 - SaiPa U20	5:4 OT ✺
13.09.25	SaiPa U20 - KalPa U20	6:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-sarja U20
04.01.25	SaiPa U20 - Ässät U20	4:1
07.09.24	Ässät U20 - SaiPa U20	2:1
13.01.24	SaiPa U20 - Ässät U20	3:7
04.01.24	Ässät U20 - SaiPa U20	5:3
10.09.22	Ässät U20 - SaiPa U20	4:5 OT
09.10.21	Ässät U20 - SaiPa U20	5:4 OT
21.11.20	SaiPa U20 - Ässät U20	3:4

Upcoming Matches