Match Info

VHL

Date: 18 February 2026, Wednesday

Location: Ledovy Dvorets (Tula)


	AKM		Molot Perm

	1	X	2
	3.02	3.78	2.1
	2.55	3.85	2.38	Watch
	2.45	3.75	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↑ (2.37)	3.79 ↓ (3.9)	2.26 ↓ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AKM
34.6%

Draw
24.4%

Molot Perm
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.7%

23.5%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

25.3%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AKM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Molot Perm has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AKM than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for AKM, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Molot Perm than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Molot Perm, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

AKM - Molot Perm Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
91. Pastukh V. (G)	40. Gorshkov Y. (G)
67. Ivanov G.	55. Kozhevnikov A.
25. Puchkov Y.	12. Glukhov N.
94. Mitrofanov A.	81. Galimzyanov R.
90. Komissarov L.	15. Zenchikov I.
29. Kaburov G.	10. Plastinin V.
Line 2
80. Strugov Y.	89. Malyavin A.
3. Zhurakov D.	16. Averin N.
77. Sharifyanov T.	61. Polyakov V.
52. Lapshin I.	51. Kitsyn M.
21. Makarov R.	34. Mikhasyonok V.
Line 3
98. Novikov N.	44. Yerokhin A.
71. Zaitsev D.	42. Labutkin Y.
70. Dyukarev V.	71. Kolesnikov Y.
15. Yermakov Y.	22. Sinyavsky P.
10. Nazarov M.	11. Lapin D.
Line 4
7. Fyodorov S.	59. Sokolov N.
79. Shulenin G.	92. Kazakov M.
62. Skutin Y.	88. Tesanov D.
36. Shumilin Y.	13. Yabelov D.
Substitutes
86. Ignatov S.	90. Guskov Y. (G)
97. Skovronsky A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 2)
03:08, 0 - 1, Tesanov D. (G), Yabelov D. (A), Kozhevnikov A. (A2)
10:09, 0 - 2, Zenchikov I. (G), Plastinin V. (A),
2nd Period (1 - 0)
05:26, 1 - 2, Nazarov M. (G), Yermakov Y. (A), Dyukarev V. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AKM won 2.

Recent performances by AKM have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Molot is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

AKM may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, AKM won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 23:25. (average 2.6:2.8).

Including home matches between the teams, AKM won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 2.3:2.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
5	AKM	12	7	0	3	2	38:29	17
8	Perm	11	6	2	0	3	29:20	16

Last Results with these Odds

AKM - the odds 2.37 are the expected chance of winning is 38.71%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AKM Tula
VHL
16.02.26	AKM - Toros Neftekamsk	3:0 ✺
14.02.26	AKM - Izhstal	2:7 ✺
10.02.26	AKM - Kristall Saratov	2:4 ✺
08.02.26	AKM - Dizel Penza	2:1 penalties ✺
30.01.26	Chelny - AKM	2:1 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WLLWL
- HC Molot Perm
VHL
13.02.26	Molot Perm - Chelny	2:1 penalties ✺
11.02.26	Molot Perm - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	1:8 ✺
09.02.26	Molot Perm - CSK VVS Samara	4:2 ✺
07.02.26	Molot Perm - Bars Kazan	3:0 ✺
01.02.26	Dinamo St. Petersburg - Molot Perm	2:3 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
24.09.25	Molot Perm - AKM	4:3 penalties
13.02.25	Molot Perm - AKM	2:4
08.10.24	AKM - Molot Perm	4:2
17.12.23	Molot Perm - AKM	4:3 penalties
27.10.23	AKM - Molot Perm	0:1
13.12.22	AKM - Molot Perm	2:4
02.11.22	Molot Perm - AKM	5:4 OT

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