Match Info

VHL

Date: 20 February 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Ledovy Dvorets (Tula) 🌤️ ...


	AKM		Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk

	1	X	2
	1.88	4.02	3.42
	1.89	3.98	3.49	Watch
	1.8	4	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (2.03)	4 ↑ (3.7)	3.4 ↑ (3.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AKM
49.8%

Draw
23.1%

Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk
27.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45.3%

24.8%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

26.4%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AKM has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AKM than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with AKM that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

AKM - Olympia Kirovo Chepetsk Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - AKM (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. AKM (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
20. Zarubin K. (G)	1. Chechelev D. (G)
25. Puchkov Y. (C)	89. Gainullin I.
67. Ivanov G.	74. Antipin V.
94. Mitrofanov A. (A)	34. Ponomaryov T.
90. Komissarov L.	25. Pikov M. (A)
52. Lapshin I.	93. Korenev I.
Line 2
3. Zhurakov D.	79. Gusev M. M.
80. Strugov Y.	91. Lyakhov A.
21. Makarov R.	59. Sorokin D.
70. Dyukarev V.	26. Fischenko I. (A)
29. Kaburov G.	86. Korobintsev V.
Line 3
71. Zaitsev D. (A)	18. Tolpegin D.
98. Novikov N.	7. Myslyayev S.
10. Nazarov M.	24. Pishchalnikov P.
77. Sharifyanov T.	31. Shiafotdinov K.
15. Yermakov Y.	69. Remov A.
Line 4
24. Alishlalov M.	36. Aksyonov A.
36. Shumilin Y.	4. Fedotov A. (C)
79. Shulenin G.	95. Manin Y.
86. Ignatov S.	77. Peshekhonov V.
	17. Almazov N.
Substitutes
91. Pastukh V. (G)	48. Kuznetsov G. (G)
62. Skutin Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
07:57, 1 - 0, Kaburov G. (G), Makarov R. (A),
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
01:48, 1 - 1, Shiafotdinov K. (G), Remov A. (A), Pishchalnikov P. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (3 - 2)
1, Komissarov L. (Penalty Shot),
1, Shiafotdinov K. (Penalty Shot),
2, Makarov R. (Penalty Shot),
2, Peshekhonov V. (Penalty Shot),
3, Nazarov M. (Penalty Shot),
3, Pishchalnikov P. (Penalty Shot),
4, Dyukarev V. (Penalty Shot),
4, Ponomaryov T. (Penalty Shot),
5, Yermakov Y. (Penalty Shot),
5, Remov A. (Penalty Shot),
6, Shiafotdinov K. (Penalty Shot),
6, Nazarov M. (Penalty Shot),
7, Peshekhonov V. (Penalty Shot),
7, Yermakov Y. (Penalty Shot),
8, Shiafotdinov K. (Penalty Shot),
8, Dyukarev V. (Penalty Shot),
9, Remov A. (Penalty Shot),
9, Shulenin G. (Penalty Shot),
10, Manin Y. (Penalty Shot),
10, Makarov R. (Penalty Shot),

Preview

Recent performances by AKM have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Kirovo-Chepetsk is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

AKM may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.

AKM could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, AKM won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 2:3.3).

Including home match between the teams, AKM won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5.

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
5	AKM	20	10	1	5	4	58:48	27
21	Olympia	20	6	2	1	11	50:55	17

Last Results with these Odds

AKM - the odds 2.03 are the expected chance of winning is 45.25%, but this team recently wins 73% of matches with these odds.

Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - the odds 3.07 are the expected chance of winning is 29.92%, but this team recently wins 10% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AKM Tula
VHL
18.02.26	AKM - Molot Perm	1:2 ✺
16.02.26	AKM - Toros Neftekamsk	3:0 ✺
14.02.26	AKM - Izhstal	2:7 ✺
10.02.26	AKM - Kristall Saratov	2:4 ✺
08.02.26	AKM - Dizel Penza	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWLLW
- Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk
VHL
15.02.26	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - Chelny	2:5 ✺
13.02.26	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	3:4 ✺
11.02.26	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - CSK VVS Samara	1:5 ✺
09.02.26	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - Bars Kazan	2:1 penalties ✺
03.02.26	Dinamo St. Petersburg - Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
22.09.25	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - AKM	2:1 penalties
11.02.25	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - AKM	3:1
10.10.24	AKM - Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk	4:5

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