Match Info

VHL

Date: 5 December 2025, Friday

Location: Ledovy Dvorets (Tula)


	AKM		Zauralie Kurgan

	1	X	2
	2.27	3.62	2.69
	2.32	3.88	2.61	Watch
	2.35	3.6	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (2.05)	3.7 ↓ (3.9)	2.7 ↓ (3.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AKM
40.3%

Draw
25.2%

Zauralie Kurgan
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.7%

24%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3%

23.2%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AKM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that AKM's form might have worsened.

Zauralie Kurgan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AKM than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for AKM, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zauralie Kurgan than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Zauralie Kurgan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

AKM - Zauralie Kurgan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
91. Pastukh V. (G)	20. Vinogradov Z. (G)
25. Puchkov Y. (A)	67. Vasilyev K.
71. Zaitsev D.	43. Ugolnikov A.
28. Tsybin M. (A)	11. Ryzhov K.
77. Sharifyanov T.	34. Tagirov K.
36. Shumilin Y.	74. Govorkov M.
Line 2
23. Yuzbashyan R.	61. Kozhemyakin G.
85. Fazylzyanov K. (C)	48. Denisevich B.
12. Rybakov V.	17. Lipanov A.
70. Dyukarev V.	93. Kozlov I. (A)
29. Kaburov G.	7. Baldayev D.
Line 3
80. Strugov Y.	3. Shikun A.
38. Bulygin D.	77. Belyakov F. (A)
10. Nazarov M.	99. Kolesnikov S.
13. Bryntsev M.	78. Komaristy A. (C)
15. Yermakov Y.	87. Nizovtsev S.
Line 4
24. Alishlalov M.	16. Avvakumov I.
32. Manin Y.	97. Bogdanov A.
79. Shulenin G.	13. Ugolnikov A.
46. Rudenkov I.	24. Smirnov N.
Substitutes
97. Skovronsky A. (G)	60. Gorbunov I. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
12:11, 1 - 0, Bryntsev M. (G), Puchkov Y. (A), Yermakov Y. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AKM won 2.

In recent matches, AKM has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Zauralie's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Zauralie may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

We predict that AKM will win today's game, with odds of 2.37.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, AKM won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 23:21. (average 2.9:2.6).

Including home matches between the teams, AKM won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 3:2.3).

Last Results with these Odds

AKM - the odds 2.05 are the expected chance of winning is 45.67%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Zauralie Kurgan - the odds 3.09 are the expected chance of winning is 30.3%, but this team recently wins 42% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AKM Tula
VHL
03.12.25	AKM - Rubin Tyumen	3:4 penalties ✺
01.12.25	AKM - Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk	2:1 OT ✺
26.11.25	Buran Voronezh - AKM	5:4 OT ✺
24.11.25	Rostov - AKM	2:7 ✺
22.11.25	Tambov - AKM	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 LWLWW
- Zauralie Kurgan
VHL
03.12.25	Ryazan - Zauralie Kurgan	0:2 ✺
01.12.25	Dizel Penza - Zauralie Kurgan	1:0 penalties ✺
29.11.25	Kristall Saratov - Zauralie Kurgan	2:1 OT ✺
23.11.25	Zauralie Kurgan - Izhstal	3:4 ✺
21.11.25	Zauralie Kurgan - Toros Neftekamsk	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
14.03.25	Zauralie Kurgan - AKM	3:0
05.09.24	AKM - Zauralie Kurgan	4:1
06.02.24	Zauralie Kurgan - AKM	1:6
24.09.23	AKM - Zauralie Kurgan	1:4
12.01.23	AKM - Zauralie Kurgan	2:3
14.10.22	Zauralie Kurgan - AKM	3:1
19.01.22	AKM - Zauralie Kurgan	5:1

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