The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Zauralie Kurgan 40.1%
Draw 24.1%
Izhstal 35.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.2%
24.1%
31.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.5%
25.4%
30.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zauralie Kurgan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
Izhstal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zauralie Kurgan than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zauralie Kurgan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Izhstal than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Izhstal, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Zauralie Kurgan - Izhstal Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
20. Vinogradov Z. (G)
34. Tabatchikov V. (G)
67. Vasilyev K.
81. Glinsky M.
79. Isayev I. (C)
26. Petrikov Y. (A)
13. Ugolnikov A.
17. Dyuryagin D. (A)
93. Kozlov I.
10. Astashevsky S.
17. Lipanov A.
41. Yerofeyev A.
Line 2
3. Shikun A.
50. Zhdanov Y.
77. Belyakov F. (A)
23. Glebov G. (C)
11. Ryzhov K.
60. Yakovlev P.
34. Tagirov K.
27. Pukelo K.
74. Govorkov M.
99. Ogirchuk D.
Line 3
61. Kozhemyakin G.
45. Nazarko A.
16. Avvakumov I.
76. Khairulin T.
99. Kolesnikov S.
29. Kruzhenkov Y.
78. Komaristy A. (A)
57. Yepishchev I.
87. Nizovtsev S.
39. Kovalyov A.
Line 4
51. Shipin D.
78. Sokolov S.
97. Bogdanov A.
11. Slepkov I.
98. Govorkov R.
21. Pugachyov A.
82. Shiryayev I.
36. Poyarkov D.
59. Dolgopyatov N.
Substitutes
30. Yeryomin I. (G)
43. Volkov G. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 1)
07:13, 0 - 1, Zhdanov Y. (G),
10:41, 1 - 1, Govorkov R. (G), Lipanov A. (A),
19:26, 2 - 1, Ryzhov K. (G), Komaristy A. (A), Govorkov M. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
06:51, 2 - 2, Kovalyov A. (G), Kruzhenkov Y. (A), Zhdanov Y. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 2)
08:29, 2 - 3, Poyarkov D. (G), Pugachyov A. (A),
18:06, 2 - 4, Dolgopyatov N. (G), Glebov G. (A), Yepishchev I. (A2)
19:11, 3 - 4, Vasilyev K. (G),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zauralie won 5.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Zauralie may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Zauralie might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Zauralie won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 76:46. (average 3.8:2.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Zauralie won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 48:27. (average 4.8:2.7).
Last Results with these Odds
Zauralie Kurgan - the odds 2.12 are the expected chance of winning is 44.2%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Vinogradov Z. (G) 
Glinsky M. 
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