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Abbotsford Canucks vs Ontario Reign Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Monday, February 16, 2026)

Match Info

AHL

Date: 16 February 2026, Monday

Location: Abbotsford Centre (Abbotsford, BC)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Usa	Flohockey


	Abbotsford Canucks		Ontario Reign

	1	X	2
	3.4	4.33	1.7	Watch
	3.65	4.45	1.72
	3.9	4.24	1.72
	4.04	4.37	1.68	Watch
	3.6	4.2	1.7
	3.74	4.25	1.71	Watch
	3.75	4.25	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.73 ↑ (2.85)	4.3 ↑ (3.98)	1.7 ↓ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Abbotsford Canucks
24.6%

Draw
21.3%

Ontario Reign
54%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.1%

23%

44.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3%

25.3%

40.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Abbotsford Canucks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Abbotsford Canucks's form might have worsened.

Ontario Reign has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ontario Reign's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Abbotsford Canucks than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Abbotsford Canucks, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ontario Reign than the current prediction. (-13.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ontario Reign, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
60. Tolopilo N. (G)	29. Copley P. (G)
88. Aman N.	59. Alexandrov N.
13. Bains A.	58. Bolduc S.
29. Berard B.	24. Booth A.
34. Clayton C.	91. Brown L.
17. Kambeitz C.	8. Chromiak M.
15. Khaira J.	17. Connors K.
9. Klimovich D.	37. Doty J.
72. Knyzhov N.	21. Gawdin G. (A)
23. Lekkerimaki J.	81. Guttman C.
90. Mancini V.	27. Hicketts J. (C)
39. Mueller T.	86. Jamsen A.
45. Mynio S.	19. Kirsanov K.
62. Poisson N.	22. Lawrence K.
48. Schuldt J. (A)	26. Lee A. (A)
61. Stillman C.	45. Millar J.
93. Walker C.	71. Pinelli F.
4. Woo J. (A)	12. Rego T.
21. Wouters C. (C)	78. Wright J.
Substitutes
36. Koskenvuo A. (G)	1. Portillo E. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
07:08, 0 - 1, Jamsen A. (G), Pinelli F. (A),
2nd Period (2 - 1)
00:38, 1 - 1, Lekkerimaki J. (G),
02:22, 2 - 1, Berard B. (G), Aman N. (A), Mynio S. (A2)
15:28, 2 - 2, Gawdin G. (G), Chromiak M. (A), Alexandrov N. (A2)
3rd Period (3 - 1)
03:51, 2 - 3, Jamsen A. (G), Alexandrov N. (A),
06:02, 3 - 3, Khaira J. (G), Mancini V. (A),
13:28, 4 - 3, Lekkerimaki J. (G), Mueller T. (A), Bains A. (A2)
16:44, 5 - 3, Mueller T. (G), Woo J. (A), Bains A. (A2)

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Abbotsford won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Abbotsford may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Ontario might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Abbotsford won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 58:65. (average 2.9:3.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Abbotsford won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 37:29. (average 3.4:2.6).

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Last Results with these Odds

Abbotsford Canucks - the odds 2.85 are the expected chance of winning is 32.13%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Abbotsford Canucks
AHL
14.02.26	Abbotsford Canucks - Ontario Reign	2:1 ✺
07.02.26	Abbotsford Canucks - San Jose Barracuda	2:1 ✺
06.02.26	Abbotsford Canucks - San Jose Barracuda	3:7 ✺
31.01.26	Bakersfield Condors - Abbotsford Canucks	3:2 ✺
30.01.26	Bakersfield Condors - Abbotsford Canucks	7:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WWLLL
- Ontario Reign
AHL
14.02.26	Abbotsford Canucks - Ontario Reign	2:1 ✺
07.02.26	Ontario Reign - Bakersfield Condors	4:3 ✺
06.02.26	Bakersfield Condors - Ontario Reign	3:4 ✺
04.02.26	Ontario Reign - Tucson Roadrunners	5:1 ✺
01.02.26	Ontario Reign - Coachella Valley Firebirds	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

AHL
14.02.26	Abbotsford Canucks - Ontario Reign	2:1
28.01.26	Ontario Reign - Abbotsford Canucks	5:2
26.10.25	Abbotsford Canucks - Ontario Reign	2:5
24.10.25	Abbotsford Canucks - Ontario Reign	2:5
19.04.25	Ontario Reign - Abbotsford Canucks	3:5
15.01.25	Abbotsford Canucks - Ontario Reign	5:2
14.01.25	Abbotsford Canucks - Ontario Reign	6:3

Abbotsford Canucks - Ontario Reign: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide