Match Info

AHL

Date: 6 February 2026, Friday

Location: Mechanics Bank Arena (Bakersfield, CA)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Flohockey


	Bakersfield Condors		Ontario Reign

	1	X	2
	2.1	4	2.6	Watch
	2.27	3.95	2.6
	2.29	3.71	2.63
	2.28	3.87	2.68	Watch
	2.25	3.75	2.6
	2.28	3.85	2.69	Watch
	2.3	3.75	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↓ (2.3)	3.84 ↑ (3.79)	2.61 ↓ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bakersfield Condors
40.8%

Draw
24%

Ontario Reign
35.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.4%

24.5%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

26.6%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bakersfield Condors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Ontario Reign has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bakersfield Condors than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ontario Reign than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Bakersfield Condors - Ontario Reign Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
90. Tomkins M. (G)	1. Portillo E. (G)
82. Akey B.	59. Alexandrov N.
44. Brown J. (A)	58. Bolduc S.
66. Brown M.	24. Booth A.
73. Carfagna D.	8. Chromiak M.
19. D'Amato D.	17. Connors K.
39. Griffith S. (C)	37. Doty J. (A)
52. Hamblin J.	21. Gawdin G. (A)
53. Howard I.	81. Guttman C.
23. Hutson Q.	27. Hicketts J. (C)
15. Jarventie R.	47. Hughes J.
63. Keppen E.	86. Jamsen A.
57. Marjala V.	19. Kirsanov K.
78. Millman M.	22. Lawrence K.
68. Pitlick R.	26. Lee A.
8. Poulin S.	45. Millar J.
77. Prokop L.	71. Pinelli F.
61. Stillman R. (A)	12. Rego T.
41. Stonehouse B.	78. Wright J.
Substitutes
40. Ungar C. (G)	29. Copley P. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
01:32, 1 - 0, Prokop L. (G),
2nd Period (0 - 2)
10:09, 1 - 1, Jamsen A. (G), Hicketts J. (A),
16:51, 1 - 2, Guttman C. (G), Booth A. (A), Gawdin G. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 2)
11:50, 1 - 3, Gawdin G. (G), Guttman C. (A),
17:01, 2 - 3, Hamblin J. (G), Hutson Q. (A), Howard I. (A2)
18:10, 2 - 4, Wright J. (G), Portillo E. (A),
19:16, 3 - 4, Marjala V. (G), Hamblin J. (A), Griffith S. (A2)

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bakersfield won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Recently, Ontario has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bakersfield won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 54:60. (average 2.7:3).

Including home matches between the teams, Bakersfield won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 26:32. (average 2.2:2.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Ontario Reign - the odds 2.65 are the expected chance of winning is 35.07%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bakersfield Condors
AHL
03.02.26	Bakersfield Condors - Calgary Wranglers	3:2 OT ✺
31.01.26	Bakersfield Condors - Abbotsford Canucks	3:2 ✺
30.01.26	Bakersfield Condors - Abbotsford Canucks	7:2 ✺
28.01.26	Henderson Silver Knights - Bakersfield Condors	2:1 OT ✺
24.01.26	San Jose Barracuda - Bakersfield Condors	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWWLL
- Ontario Reign
AHL
04.02.26	Ontario Reign - Tucson Roadrunners	5:1 ✺
01.02.26	Ontario Reign - Coachella Valley Firebirds	1:5 ✺
31.01.26	San Diego Gulls - Ontario Reign	4:3 ✺
28.01.26	Ontario Reign - Abbotsford Canucks	5:2 ✺
24.01.26	Ontario Reign - Colorado Eagles	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

AHL
11.01.26	Bakersfield Condors - Ontario Reign	3:0
17.12.25	Bakersfield Condors - Ontario Reign	0:4
22.11.25	Bakersfield Condors - Ontario Reign	2:3 OT
21.11.25	Ontario Reign - Bakersfield Condors	3:2
24.01.25	Bakersfield Condors - Ontario Reign	2:3 penalties
08.12.24	Ontario Reign - Bakersfield Condors	5:3
30.11.24	Bakersfield Condors - Ontario Reign	1:3

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