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Current Win Probability
Ak Bars Kazan 53.2%
Draw 22.2%
Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod 24.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54.9%
21.8%
23.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.5%
20.1%
25.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ak Bars Kazan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ak Bars Kazan than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
28.6%
28.6%
42.9%
Ak Bars Kazan - Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Ak Bars will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Torpedo NN will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 1.5, 1st Period - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
82. Bilyalov T. (G)
52. Dagestansky D. (G)
58. Miller M.
6. Konyushkov B. (C)
96. Lyamkin N.
2. Zhuravlyov D.
95. Galimov A.
88. Mukhanov T.
24. Safonov I.
55. Tkachyov V. (A)
17. Barabanov A. (A)
92. Vinogradov Y.
Line 2
53. Marchenko A. (C)
77. Nardella B.
89. Karpukhin I.
36. Sizov A. (A)
29. Todd N.
27. Goncharuk S.
94. Semyonov K. (A)
7. Letunov M.
55. Chmelevski A.
89. Geraskin I.
Line 3
28. Terekhov S.
21. Silayev A.
33. Yarullin A.
33. Naumenkov M.
23. Jaskin D.
18. Prince S.
50. Komkov D.
78. Kruchinin A.
14. Denisenko G.
13. Sokolov Y.
Line 4
22. Bardin I.
96. Boikov S.
71. Pustozyorov A.
95. Shevchenko D.
92. Katelevsky D.
10. Firstov V.
86. Dynyak N.
93. Belevich A.
85. Yaremchuk A.
Substitutes
20. Arefyev M. (G)
29. Shugayev D. (G)
Coaches
. Gatiyatulin A.
. Isakov A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 2)
02:11, Firstov V. (2 min),
17:07, 0 - 1, Konyushkov B. (G), Firstov V. (A), Belevich A. (A2)
19:27, 0 - 2, Letunov M. (G), Goncharuk S. (A), Konyushkov B. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
14:14, 1 - 2, Pustozyorov A. (G), Marchenko A. (A), Katelevsky D. (A2)
16:46, Marchenko A. (2 min),
3rd Period (2 - 1)
02:46, Lyamkin N. (2 min),
04:31, 1 - 3, Sokolov Y. (G), Konyushkov B. (A), Goncharuk S. (A2)
08:29, Tkachyov V. (2 min),
11:34, 2 - 3, Denisenko G. (G), Yarullin A. (A), Terekhov S. (A2)
19:48, 3 - 3, Chmelevski A. (G), Denisenko G. (A), Jaskin D. (A2)
Overtime (1 - 0)
00:24, 4 - 3, Miller M. (G), Barabanov A. (A),
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ak Bars won 2.
Recent form of Ak Bars has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Torpedo NN has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Torpedo NN may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Torpedo NN has had a series of away games.
In this match, Ak Bars is a strong favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ak Bars won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 65:47. (average 3.3:2.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Ak Bars won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 34:25. (average 3.1:2.3).
Outrights of KHL for now
Bars Kazan: 6.65% Nizhny Novgorod: 2.88%
Last Results with these Odds
Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod - the odds 3.95 are the expected chance of winning is 23.22%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Bilyalov T. (G) 
Miller M. 
Todd N. 
Jaskin D. 
Prince S. 
Shevchenko D. 
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