Match Info

KHL - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 31 March 2026, Tuesday

Location: Ice Palace (Cherepovets)


	Severstal Cherepovets		Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod

	1	X	2
	2.06	4	3.34
	2.09	3.98	3.32	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↓ (2.24)	3.99 ↑ (3.87)	3.33 ↑ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Severstal Cherepovets
46.7%

Draw
24.3%

Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.3%

25%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

25.4%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Severstal Cherepovets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Severstal Cherepovets than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Severstal Cherepovets - Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Severstal will win (votes: 1 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Severstal (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +2 - Severstal (1.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Severstal (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
29. Samoilov A. (G)	72. Kostin D. (G)
32. Gregoire T.	6. Konyushkov B. (A)
8. Kaldis Y.	36. Sizov A. (A)
88. Dumbadze D. (A)	10. Firstov V.
66. Podshivalov I.	7. Letunov M.
37. Reingardt I.	27. Goncharuk S.
Line 2
2. Grudinin V.	21. Silayev A.
75. Davydov T.	77. Nardella B.
23. Liska A. (C)	16. Atanasov V.
17. Abrosimov R. (A)	55. Tkachyov V. (C)
81. Kazulayev D.	92. Vinogradov Y.
Line 3
77. Fomin M.	33. Naumenkov M.
21. Kamalov N.	2. Zhuravlyov D.
10. Tsitsyura V.	68. Garayev A.
53. Aimurzin D.	43. Svishchyov K.
99. Ilyin M.	89. Geraskin I.
Line 4
16. Vashchenko G.	17. Alexandrov D.
97. Chebykin N.	85. Yaremchuk A.
6. Ivantsov I.	93. Belevich A.
12. Skorenov A.	80. Shavin N.
Substitutes
51. Kvochko I.	18. Prince S.
1. Shostak K. (G)	29. Shugayev D. (G)
Coaches
. Kozyrev A.	. Isakov A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 2)
08:42, 1 - 0, Reingardt I. (G), Grudinin V. (A), Dumbadze D. (A2)
09:14, 1 - 1, Tkachyov V. (Penalty Shot),
10:48, 1 - 2, Tkachyov V. (G), Nardella B. (A), Vinogradov Y. (A2)
19:01, Vinogradov Y. (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 1)
03:24, 1 - 3, Goncharuk S. (G), Firstov V. (A), Nardella B. (A2)
16:23, Silayev A. (5 min),
16:23, Chebykin N. (5 min),
3rd Period (2 - 1)
08:53, Firstov V. (2 min),
15:56, 2 - 3, Aimurzin D. (G), Ilyin M. (A), Kaldis Y. (A2)
16:57, 2 - 4, Goncharuk S. (G), Letunov M. (A), Konyushkov B. (A2)
18:26, 3 - 4, Liska A. (G), Tsitsyura V. (A), Kaldis Y. (A2)

Preview

Nizhny Novgorod leads series 3-1. Fifth leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Severstal won 1.

Recent form of Severstal has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Torpedo NN is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Severstal might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Torpedo NN will win today's game, with odds of 3.06.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Severstal won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 63:52. (average 3.2:2.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Severstal won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 36:35. (average 3.3:3.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod - the odds 3.06 are the expected chance of winning is 31.68%, but this team recently wins 6% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Severstal Cherepovets
KHL
29.03.26	Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod - Severstal Cherepovets	3:2 OT ✺
27.03.26	Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod - Severstal Cherepovets	3:1 ✺
25.03.26	Severstal Cherepovets - Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod	4:0 ✺
23.03.26	Severstal Cherepovets - Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod	1:4 ✺
19.03.26	Severstal Cherepovets - Avangard Omsk	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLWLL
- Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod
KHL
29.03.26	Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod - Severstal Cherepovets	3:2 OT ✺
27.03.26	Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod - Severstal Cherepovets	3:1 ✺
25.03.26	Severstal Cherepovets - Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod	4:0 ✺
23.03.26	Severstal Cherepovets - Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod	1:4 ✺
19.03.26	Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod - Amur Khabarovsk	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

KHL
29.03.26	Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod - Severstal Cherepovets	3:2 OT
27.03.26	Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod - Severstal Cherepovets	3:1
25.03.26	Severstal Cherepovets - Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod	4:0
23.03.26	Severstal Cherepovets - Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod	1:4
27.02.26	Severstal Cherepovets - Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod	1:2
28.01.26	Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod - Severstal Cherepovets	2:3 OT
10.01.26	Severstal Cherepovets - Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod	7:6

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