Match Info

KHL

Date: 19 October 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Ice Palace (Cherepovets) 🌤️ ...


	Severstal Cherepovets		Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod

	1	X	2
	2.27	3.64	2.81
	2.2	3.6	2.75
	2.14	4.2	2.93	Watch
	2.2	3.85	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (2.15)	3.82 ↓ (4.29)	2.8 ↓ (3.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Severstal Cherepovets
42.3%

Draw
24.4%

Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod
33.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45.1%

22.6%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1%

21.8%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Severstal Cherepovets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Severstal Cherepovets than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Severstal Cherepovets - Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Severstal will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Severstal (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
29. Samoilov A. (G)	30. Shugayev D. (G)
32. Gregoire T.	36. Sizov A. (A)
8. Kaldis Y.	8. Brickey S.
88. Dumbadze D. (A)	89. Geraskin I.
66. Podshivalov I.	63. Kraskovsky P. (A)
18. Veryayev D.	10. Firstov V.
Line 2
78. Chuklinov S.	6. Konyushkov B.
75. Davydov T.	2. Zhuravlyov D.
11. Yan D. (A)	14. Polyakov M.
17. Abrosimov R. (C)	42. Vorobyov M.
71. Popugayev N. A.	27. Goncharuk S.
Line 3
52. Chaly G.	21. Kamalov N.
2. Grudinin V.	77. Nardella B.
51. Kvochko I.	41. Fyodorov V.
6. Ivantsov I.	55. Tkachyov V. (C)
12. Skorenov A.	97. Seroukh D.
Line 4
77. Fomin M.	73. Dyblenko Y.
23. Liska A.	68. Garayev A.
70. Graf Y.	93. Belevich A.
81. Kazulayev D.	80. Shavin N.
Substitutes
16. Nikitin V.	52. Dagestansky D. (G)
30. Skotnikov V. (G)	39. Pugachyov G.
Coaches
. Kozyrev A.	. Isakov A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 0)
00:25, 1 - 0, Kaldis Y. (G), Dumbadze D. (A), Podshivalov I. (A2)
05:08, Shavin N. (2 min),
16:01, 2 - 0, Yan D. (G), Abrosimov R. (A), Chuklinov S. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 0)
04:44, Pugachyov G. (2 min),
09:52, 3 - 0, Dumbadze D. (G), Veryayev D. (A),
19:24, 4 - 0, Podshivalov I. (G), Davydov T. (A), Dumbadze D. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
00:01, Shugayev D. ↓, Dagestansky D. ↑,
01:22, Popugayev N. A. (2 min),
01:31, 4 - 1, Konyushkov B. (G), Polyakov M. (A), Seroukh D. (A2)
12:18, Tkachyov V. (2 min),
14:42, Geraskin I. (2 min),

Preview

One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - KHL Playoffs - 1/8 - finals and 4th in the Promotion - KHL Playoffs - 1/8 - finals).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Severstal won 2.

Severstal is currently on a high with consecutive positive results (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Torpedo NN has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Torpedo NN may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Severstal has recorded 12 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 61:52 (averaging 3.1:2.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Severstal against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with 31:33 goals (averaging 3.1:3.3 per game).

Outrights of KHL for now

Nizhny Novgorod: 2.35%

Last Results with these Odds

Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod - the odds 3.01 are the expected chance of winning is 32.24%, but this team recently wins 12% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Severstal Cherepovets
KHL
15.10.26	Severstal Cherepovets - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	5:2 ✺
13.10.26	Severstal Cherepovets - SKA Saint Petersburg	2:0 ✺
10.10.26	Ak Bars Kazan - Severstal Cherepovets	1:4 ✺
08.10.26	Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod - Severstal Cherepovets	2:3 ✺
06.10.26	SKA Saint Petersburg - Severstal Cherepovets	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.6 WWWWW
- Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod
KHL
16.10.26	Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod - Dynamo Moscow	5:4 ✺
12.10.26	Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod - Metallurg Magnitogorsk	2:3 OT ✺
08.10.26	Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod - Severstal Cherepovets	2:3 ✺
05.10.26	Dinamo Minsk - Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod	1:2 penalties ✺
03.10.26	Sochi - Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod	0:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

KHL
08.10.26	Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod - Severstal Cherepovets	2:3
31.03.26	Severstal Cherepovets - Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod	3:4
29.03.26	Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod - Severstal Cherepovets	3:2 OT
27.03.26	Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod - Severstal Cherepovets	3:1
25.03.26	Severstal Cherepovets - Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod	4:0
23.03.26	Severstal Cherepovets - Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod	1:4
27.02.26	Severstal Cherepovets - Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod	1:2

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