Match Info

KHL

Date: 22 September 2026, Tuesday

Location: VTB Arena (Moscow)


	Dynamo Moscow		Barys Astana

	1	X	2
	1.68	4.26	4.15
	1.64	4.15	4.05
	1.78	4.38	4.13	Watch
	1.67	4.2	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.55)	4.25 ↓ (4.6)	4.08 ↓ (5.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dynamo Moscow
55.2%

Draw
22%

Barys Astana
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61%

20.5%

18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.9%

22%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dynamo Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dynamo Moscow's form might have worsened.

Barys Astana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dynamo Moscow than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barys Astana than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Dynamo Moscow - Barys Astana Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Dynamo M will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Barys will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Barys (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
59. Podyapolsky V. (G)	43. Shutov A. (G)
92. Ozhiganov I. (C)	26. Day L.
45. Pylenkov D. (A)	2. Massie J. (A)
70. Martynov I.	8. Bailey J.
57. Shvets-Rogovoy A. (A)	14. Pilon G.
35. Korostelev N.	11. Morelli M.
Line 2
96. Sharakanov M.	71. Daniyar Sam. (A)
88. Blazhiyevsky A.	3. McCoshen I.
90. Sikura D.	13. Kaiyrzhan D.
10. Merkley N.	9. Thompson T.
7. Letunov M.	17. Omirbekov A.
Line 3
94. Novikov N.	91. Dikhanbek M.
5. Zborovsky S.	4. Priskie C.
29. Shafigullin B.	29. Lyapunov K.
27. Melikov M.	12. Logvin V.
16. Shen P.	70. Simonov S.
Line 4
75. Patalakha M.	7. Britikov D.
22. Profaca L.	84. Savitsky K. (C)
79. Nikonov A.	64. Shestakov A.
77. Zugan D.	77. Shaikhmeddenov A.
47. Bondar A.
Substitutes
99. Motorygin M. (G)	32. Shepard H. (G)
Coaches
. Tambijevs L.	. Kravets M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
14:02, Priskie C. (2 min),
2nd Period (1 - 2)
01:22, Daniyar Sam. (2 min),
01:22, Zborovsky S. (2 min),
02:32, 0 - 1, Pilon G. (G), Massie J. (A), Bailey J. (A2)
03:56, Melikov M. (2 min),
06:30, Daniyar Sam. (2 min),
07:43, 1 - 1, Korostelev N. (G), Pylenkov D. (A), Sikura D. (A2)
13:25, 1 - 2, Pilon G. (G), Daniyar Sam. (A), McCoshen I. (A2)
14:23, Dikhanbek M. (2 min),
16:07, Melikov M. (2 min),
3rd Period (0 - 2)
05:15, 1 - 3, Massie J. (G), Logvin V. (A), Priskie C. (A2)
18:37, 1 - 4, Bailey J. (G), Massie J. (A), Morelli M. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dynamo M won 1.

Dynamo M is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Performances by Barys have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Barys may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this matchup, Dynamo M is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Dynamo M has recorded 13 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 58:50 (averaging 2.9:2.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Dynamo M against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 28:26 goals (averaging 2.5:2.4 per game).

Outrights of KHL for now

Dynamo Moscow: 1.83% Barys Astana: 0.77%

Last Results with these Odds

Barys Astana - the odds 5.1 are the expected chance of winning is 18.48%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Dynamo Moscow
KHL
19.09.26	Amur Khabarovsk - Dynamo Moscow	4:0 ✺
17.09.26	Admiral Vladivostok - Dynamo Moscow	2:3 ✺
14.09.26	Severstal Cherepovets - Dynamo Moscow	0:2 ✺
12.09.26	Dynamo Moscow - Dinamo Minsk	3:2 penalties ✺
09.09.26	Dynamo Moscow - Admiral Vladivostok	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LWWWW
- Barys Astana
KHL
20.09.26	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Barys Astana	0:5 ✺
18.09.26	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Barys Astana	3:0 ✺
16.09.26	Lada Togliatti - Barys Astana	0:6 ✺
12.09.26	Barys Astana - Amur Khabarovsk	1:3 ✺
09.09.26	Barys Astana - Salavat Yulaev Ufa	8:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.1 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

KHL
18.12.25	Dynamo Moscow - Barys Astana	2:4
15.09.25	Barys Astana - Dynamo Moscow	5:2
17.12.24	Dynamo Moscow - Barys Astana	0:2
24.09.24	Barys Astana - Dynamo Moscow	1:3
11.10.23	Barys Astana - Dynamo Moscow	3:2 penalties
11.09.23	Dynamo Moscow - Barys Astana	4:3 OT
03.02.23	Dynamo Moscow - Barys Astana	3:2

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