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Current Win Probability
Barys Astana 27%
Draw 21.7%
Traktor Chelyabinsk 51.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
30%
21.5%
48.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.7%
21.9%
49.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barys Astana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
Traktor Chelyabinsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barys Astana than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Traktor Chelyabinsk than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
25%
0%
Barys Astana - Traktor Chelyabinsk Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Barys will win (votes: 9 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%). Confidence interval (95%) for Barys: 50.5% โ 99.5%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Barys Astana will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) ๐ฅ Silver Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Line 1
43. Shutov A. (G)
20. Mylnikov S. (G)
44. Walsh R.
90. Leivo J.
3. McCoshen I.
97. Glotov V.
88. Vecchione M.
74. Kravtsov V.
11. Morelli M.
2. Dronov G. (A)
10. Willman M.
26. Day L.
Line 2
71. Daniyar Sam.
96. Korshkov Y.
2. Massie J. (A)
78. Kadeykin A. (C)
70. Simonov S.
94. Grigorenko M. (A)
9. Thompson T.
72. Telegin S.
12. Logvin V.
79. Gross J.
Line 3
24. Breus D.
83. Gorbunov S.
87. Beketayev A. (A)
87. Svetlakov A.
13. Kaiyrzhan D.
7. Dzhioshvili M.
17. Omirbekov A.
48. Koromyslov A.
84. Savitsky K. (C)
82. Pribylsky A.
Line 4
58. Gaitamirov T.
45. Goryunov-Rolgizer M.
22. Panyukov K.
19. Nikonov A.
77. Shaikhmeddenov A.
25. Zharkov V.
96. Asetov A.
21. Kirpichnikov A.
12. Rykov A.
Substitutes
1. Boyarkin N. (G)
40. Sherstnev S. (G)
Coaches
. Kravets M.
. Koreshkov Y.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 2)
00:32, Glotov V. (2 min),
03:45, Panyukov K. (2 min),
05:22, Willman M. (2 min),
07:46, 0 - 1, Goryunov-Rolgizer M. (G), Zharkov V. (A),
11:53, Kaiyrzhan D. (2 min),
14:37, McCoshen I. (2 min),
19:05, 0 - 2, Day L. (G), Svetlakov A. (A), Dzhioshvili M. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
16:51, Glotov V. (2 min),
3rd Period (0 - 0)
05:26, Koromyslov A. (2 min),
19:33, Shaikhmeddenov A. (2 min),
20:00, Dronov G. (10 min),
Preview
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barys won 1.
Recent performances by Barys have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Traktor is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0).
Traktor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Traktor will hold a modest advantage in this match.
We predict that Barys will win today's game, with odds of 3.36.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Barys won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 48:66. (average 2.4:3.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Barys won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 26:23. (average 3.3:2.9).
Last Results with these Odds
Barys Astana - the odds 3.23 are the expected chance of winning is 30.03%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.
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Shutov A. (G) 
Mylnikov S. (G) 
Walsh R. 
Leivo J. 
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