Match Info

KHL

Date: 21 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Barys Arena (Astana)


	Barys Astana		Sochi

	1	X	2
	1.88	3.64	3.51
	1.94	4.39	3.47	Watch
	1.8	4	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (1.97)	4.01 ↓ (4.32)	3.33 ↑ (3.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barys Astana
49.3%

Draw
23%

Sochi
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.1%

21.9%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

21.4%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barys Astana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Sochi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barys Astana than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sochi than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	22.2%	11.1%

Barys Astana - Sochi Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Barys will win (votes: 12 - 66.7%). Sochi will win (votes: 2 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Barys: 44.9% – 88.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Barys Astana will win (12 of 12 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
43. Shutov A. (G)	30. Khomchenko P. (G)
44. Walsh R.	23. Machulin V.
3. McCoshen I.	11. Volkov A. (A)
88. Vecchione M.	34. Popov S.
11. Morelli M.	87. Khafizov T.
10. Willman M.	9. Vengryzhanovsky D.
Line 2
71. Daniyar Sam.	22. Hoefenmayer N.
2. Massie J. (A)	88. Nikolayev I.
70. Simonov S.	71. Ellis M.
9. Thompson T.	77. Guskov M.
12. Logvin V.	27. Kagarlitsky D.
Line 3
24. Breus D.	51. Sushko I.
87. Beketayev A. (A)	12. Lee C.
13. Kaiyrzhan D.	41. Bitten W.
17. Omirbekov A.	61. Beaudin J.
84. Savitsky K. (C)	97. Seroukh D. (A)
Line 4
23. Mukhametov M.	5. Sapozhnikov A.
22. Panyukov K.	25. Dedunov P. (C)
77. Shaikhmeddenov A.	79. Bashkirov D.
96. Asetov A.	24. Bikmullin R.
Substitutes
1. Boyarkin N. (G)	72. Maximov R.
	20. Tretiak M. (G)
Coaches
. Kravets M.	. Mikhailov D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 3)
03:16, 0 - 1, Vengryzhanovsky D. (G), Hoefenmayer N. (A), Popov S. (A2)
04:51, 0 - 2, Seroukh D. (G), Hoefenmayer N. (A), Nikolayev I. (A2)
05:16, 1 - 2, Simonov S. (G), Logvin V. (A), Walsh R. (A2)
06:53, Ellis M. (2 min),
10:24, 1 - 3, Volkov A. (G), Ellis M. (A), Kagarlitsky D. (A2)
10:24, Shutov A. ↓, Boyarkin N. ↑,
16:32, Kagarlitsky D. (2 min),
17:00, Vecchione M. (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 1)
00:04, Morelli M. (2 min),
06:20, Bikmullin R. (2 min),
11:21, Seroukh D. (2 min),
14:06, 1 - 4, Lee C. (G), Guskov M. (A), Ellis M. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
01:53, Bitten W. (2 min),
12:18, Lee C. (2 min),
18:41, 1 - 5, Vengryzhanovsky D. (G), Lee C. (A), Popov S. (A2)

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barys won 5.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Barys may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Sochi has had a series of away games.

Barys will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Barys will win today's game, with odds of 1.91.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Barys won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 58:53. (average 2.9:2.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Barys won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 24:19. (average 2.7:2.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barys Astana
KHL
18.12.25	Dynamo Moscow - Barys Astana	2:4 ✺
16.12.25	Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg - Barys Astana	1:4 ✺
07.12.25	Barys Astana - Sibir Novosibirsk	1:2 penalties ✺
05.12.25	Barys Astana - Spartak Moscow	4:3 OT ✺
01.12.25	Sibir Novosibirsk - Barys Astana	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 30.2 WWLWL
- HC Sochi
KHL
17.12.25	Sochi - Metallurg Magnitogorsk	1:6 ✺
04.12.25	Avangard Omsk - Sochi	5:2 ✺
02.12.25	Admiral Vladivostok - Sochi	2:4 ✺
30.11.25	Amur Khabarovsk - Sochi	0:1 ✺
28.11.25	Traktor Chelyabinsk - Sochi	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

KHL
17.11.25	Sochi - Barys Astana	1:2 OT
17.11.24	Sochi - Barys Astana	3:6
26.09.24	Barys Astana - Sochi	1:0
23.12.23	Barys Astana - Sochi	3:2 OT
20.10.23	Sochi - Barys Astana	3:5
02.10.22	Barys Astana - Sochi	5:4 OT
09.09.22	Sochi - Barys Astana	6:3

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