Match Info

KHL

Date: 17 February 2026, Tuesday

Location: UMMC Arena (Yekaterinburg)


	Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg		Sochi

	1	X	2
	1.4	5.3	6.8
	1.43	5.39	6.92	Watch
	1.38	5	6.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↑ (1.36)	5.23 ↓ (6.06)	6.82 ↑ (6.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg
67.8%

Draw
18.2%

Sochi
14%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.8%

15.6%

14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.8%

16.5%

15.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Sochi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sochi than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	30%	20%

Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg - Sochi Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Avtomobilist will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Sochi will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Avtomobilist: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Lineups

Line 1
18. Alikin Y. (G)	35. Samsonov I. (G)
9. Blacker J.	23. Machulin V.
88. Tryamkin N. (C)	11. Volkov A. (A)
17. Macek B.	25. Dedunov P. (C)
86. Sharov A.	87. Khafizov T. (A)
11. Sprong D.	78. Polyakov N.
Line 2
21. Osipov M.	51. Sushko I.
7. Busygin Y.	12. Lee C.
15. Golyshev A.	71. Ellis M.
28. Byvaltsev A. (A)	77. Guskov M.
92. Gorbunov R.	27. Kagarlitsky D.
Line 3
2. Zborovsky S.	37. Malyshev A.
55. Vorobyov K. (A)	42. Khokhlov I.
31. Khripunov S.	41. Bitten W.
24. Denezhkin M.	61. Beaudin J.
97. Kizimov S.	97. Seroukh D.
Line 4
67. Gashilov L.	29. Petukhov Y.
62. Shchuchinov A.	34. Popov S.
76. Kashtanov A.	24. Bikmullin R.
81. Romantsev D.
99. Shashkov N.
Substitutes
1. Galkin V. (G)	55. Avramov F.
	30. Khomchenko P. (G)
Coaches
. Zavarukhin N.	. Mikhailov D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 0)
03:01, Tryamkin N. (2 min),
05:27, (2 min),
09:29, 1 - 0, Shchuchinov A. (G),
11:58, 2 - 0, Sprong D. (G), Macek B. (A),
13:58, Kagarlitsky D. (2 min),
2nd Period (1 - 1)
07:57, Vorobyov K. (2 min),
12:13, Zborovsky S. (2 min),
15:45, 3 - 0, Gorbunov R. (G), Blacker J. (A), Alikin Y. (A2)
16:11, Sharov A. (2 min),
19:18, 3 - 1, Ellis M. (G), Guskov M. (A), Lee C. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
04:42, 4 - 1, Byvaltsev A. (G), Golyshev A. (A), Gorbunov R. (A2)
17:07, Sprong D. (2 min),
17:07, Malyshev A. (2 min),

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avtomobilist won 5.

Avtomobilist has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Sochi is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Sochi has had a series of away games.

In this match, Avtomobilist is the obvious favorite.

We predict that Avtomobilist will win today's game, with odds of 1.37.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Avtomobilist won 16 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 78:43. (average 3.9:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Avtomobilist won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 34:23. (average 3.8:2.6).

Outrights of KHL for now

Yekaterinburg: 4.97% Sochi: 0.28%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg
KHL
15.02.26	Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg - Metallurg Magnitogorsk	8:1 ✺
13.02.26	Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg - Dynamo Moscow	1:2 ✺
10.02.26	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg	4:1 ✺
05.02.26	Avangard Omsk - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg	2:3 OT ✺
31.01.26	Admiral Vladivostok - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WLLWW
- HC Sochi
KHL
14.02.26	Sochi - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	1:2 OT ✺
12.02.26	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Sochi	3:5 ✺
10.02.26	Sibir Novosibirsk - Sochi	10:1 ✺
03.02.26	HC CSKA Moscow - Sochi	3:1 ✺
01.02.26	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Sochi	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

KHL
17.10.25	Sochi - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg	2:3 OT
16.03.25	Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg - Sochi	6:3
19.01.25	Sochi - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg	1:2
18.02.24	Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg - Sochi	2:1
05.01.24	Sochi - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg	1:4
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
25.08.23	Sochi - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg	2:8
KHL
19.11.22	Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg - Sochi	8:2

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