Match Info

AHL

Date: 10 December 2025, Wednesday

Location: Mechanics Bank Arena (Bakersfield, CA)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Flohockey


	Bakersfield Condors		Henderson Silver Knights

	1	X	2
	2.1	4.2	2.5	Watch
	2.27	4.3	2.45
	2.27	4.05	2.49
	2.04	4.62	2.76	Watch
	2.25	4.2	2.45
	2.06	4.54	2.75	Watch
	2.15	4.25	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↑ (2.08)	4.31 ↑ (4)	2.55 ↓ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bakersfield Condors
42.6%

Draw
21.4%

Henderson Silver Knights
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.1%

22.3%

34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47%

20.4%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bakersfield Condors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Henderson Silver Knights has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bakersfield Condors than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Henderson Silver Knights than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Bakersfield Condors - Henderson Silver Knights Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Ingram C. (G)	30. Lindbom C. (G)
82. Akey B.	12. Brabenec J.
44. Brown J.	24. Connelly T.
45. Copponi M.	51. Cormier L.
19. D'Amato D.	84. Davies J.
39. Griffith S. (C)	50. Fleming J.
52. Hamblin J. (A)	59. Hallum J.
53. Howard I.	63. Hemmerling B.
23. Hutson Q.	41. Hickey B.
15. Jarventie R.	78. Johansen L.
46. Jones M.	74. Kmec J. V.
37. Leppanen A.	28. Laczynski T.
57. Marjala V.	89. McKay R.
78. Millman M.	75. McLain M. (A)
16. Pitlick R.	88. Megna J. (C)
68. Pitlick R.	46. Rondbjerg J. (A)
77. Prokop L.	25. Sapovaliv M.
81. Samanski J.	77. Uchacz K. (A)
61. Stillman R. (A)	37. Uronen T.
Substitutes
90. Tomkins M. (G)	32. Vikman J. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
02:21, 1 - 0, Millman M. (G), Griffith S. (A), Prokop L. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 5)
00:18, 2 - 0, Howard I. (G), Samanski J. (A), Leppanen A. (A2)
08:01, 2 - 1, Cormier L. (G),
13:28, 2 - 2, Hallum J. (G), Uchacz K. (A),
16:35, 2 - 3, Brabenec J. (G), Sapovaliv M. (A), Hemmerling B. (A2)
17:05, 2 - 4, McLain M. (G), Johansen L. (A), Fleming J. (A2)
19:42, 2 - 5, Uchacz K. (G), Uronen T. (A), Cormier L. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 0)

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 8)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bakersfield won 4.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Bakersfield may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

We predict that Bakersfield will win today's game, with odds of 2.22.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bakersfield won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 79:50. (average 4:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Bakersfield won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 45:23. (average 4.5:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bakersfield Condors
AHL
06.12.25	Henderson Silver Knights - Bakersfield Condors	0:4 ✺
05.12.25	Henderson Silver Knights - Bakersfield Condors	5:2 ✺
03.12.25	Bakersfield Condors - Tucson Roadrunners	5:1 ✺
29.11.25	Bakersfield Condors - Henderson Silver Knights	7:4 ✺
22.11.25	Bakersfield Condors - Ontario Reign	2:3 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WLWWL
- Henderson Silver Knights
AHL
06.12.25	Henderson Silver Knights - Bakersfield Condors	0:4 ✺
05.12.25	Henderson Silver Knights - Bakersfield Condors	5:2 ✺
29.11.25	Bakersfield Condors - Henderson Silver Knights	7:4 ✺
28.11.25	Ontario Reign - Henderson Silver Knights	4:3 ✺
22.11.25	Henderson Silver Knights - Milwaukee Admirals	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

AHL
06.12.25	Henderson Silver Knights - Bakersfield Condors	0:4
05.12.25	Henderson Silver Knights - Bakersfield Condors	5:2
29.11.25	Bakersfield Condors - Henderson Silver Knights	7:4
08.11.25	Bakersfield Condors - Henderson Silver Knights	5:3
07.11.25	Bakersfield Condors - Henderson Silver Knights	4:2
19.04.25	Henderson Silver Knights - Bakersfield Condors	2:8
18.04.25	Bakersfield Condors - Henderson Silver Knights	5:3

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