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Current Win Probability
Barys Astana 20.4%
Draw 21.6%
Ak Bars Kazan 58%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
21.5%
21.7%
56.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
17.4%
17.6%
65%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barys Astana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
Ak Bars Kazan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barys Astana than the current prediction. (-3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ak Bars Kazan than the current prediction. (+7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ak Bars Kazan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
76.9%
15.4%
7.7%
Barys Astana - Ak Bars Kazan Predictions
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Barys will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Ak Bars will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for Barys: 54% โ 99.8%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Barys Astana will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) ๐ฅ Silver Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Line 1
43. Shutov A. (G)
82. Bilyalov T. (G)
44. Walsh R.
58. Miller M.
3. McCoshen I.
96. Lyamkin N.
88. Vecchione M.
23. Jaskin D.
11. Morelli M.
94. Semyonov K.
70. Simonov S.
72. Alistrov V.
Line 2
71. Daniyar Sam.
53. Marchenko A.
2. Massie J. (A)
89. Karpukhin I.
13. Kaiyrzhan D.
14. Denisenko G.
9. Thompson T.
55. Chmelevski A.
84. Savitsky K. (C)
17. Barabanov A.
Line 3
87. Beketayev A. (A)
8. Kniazev A.
26. Wotherspoon T.
7. Falkovsky S.
22. Panyukov K.
95. Galimov A.
17. Omirbekov A.
24. Safonov I.
12. Reshetko M.
10. Biro B.
Line 4
24. Breus D.
13. Zamaltdinov R.
34. Kolesnikov V.
92. Katelevsky D.
77. Shaikhmeddenov A.
11. Fisenko M.
48. Starchenko R.
86. Dynyak N.
Substitutes
41. Scheel A. (G)
1. Berdin M. (G)
Coaches
. Kravets M.
. Gatiyatulin A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 2)
08:55, 0 - 1, Denisenko G. (G), Barabanov A. (A), Chmelevski A. (A2)
13:53, Katelevsky D. (2 min),
15:50, 0 - 2, Fisenko M. (G), Miller M. (A), Bilyalov T. (A2)
16:25, 1 - 2, Logvin V. (G), Starchenko R. (A),
2nd Period (0 - 0)
08:52, Dynyak N. (2 min),
15:02, Miller M. (2 min),
18:34, Massie J. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
03:33, 2 - 2, Panyukov K. (G), Daniyar Sam. (A), Omirbekov A. (A2)
10:38, Marchenko A. (2 min),
10:38, Simonov S. (2 min),
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (0 - 1)
1, Morelli M. (Penalty Shot),
1, Safonov I. (Penalty Shot),
2, Panyukov K. (Penalty Shot),
2, Semyonov K. (Penalty Shot),
3, Starchenko R. (Penalty Shot),
3, Barabanov A. (Penalty Shot),
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barys won 0.
Barys is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Ak Bars is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
In this match, Ak Bars is the team to beat.
We predict that Ak Bars will win today's game, with odds of 1.65.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Barys won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 16 matches, and goals 34:67. (average 1.7:3.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Barys won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 10:28. (average 1.1:3.1).
Last Results with these Odds
Barys Astana - the odds 4.43 are the expected chance of winning is 21.53%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
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Shutov A. (G) 
Bilyalov T. (G) 
Walsh R. 
Jaskin D. 
Alistrov V. 
Massie J. (A) 
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