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Current Win Probability
HC CSKA Moscow 46.5%
Draw 23.5%
Ak Bars Kazan 30.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.3%
24.6%
32.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.2%
23.4%
33.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
HC CSKA Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
Ak Bars Kazan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for HC CSKA Moscow than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with HC CSKA Moscow that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ak Bars Kazan than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
58.8%
5.9%
35.3%
HC CSKA Moscow - Ak Bars Kazan Predictions
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. CSKA will win (votes: 10 - 58.8%). Ak Bars will win (votes: 6 - 35.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%). Confidence interval (95%) for CSKA: 35.4% – 82.2%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. CSKA (votes: 3 - 60%). Ak Bars (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -1.5 - CSKA (2.51) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. CSKA (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Ak Bars (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
33. Gamzin D. (G)
82. Bilyalov T. (G)
88. Yeryomenko V.
58. Miller M.
89. Nesterov N. (C)
96. Lyamkin N.
72. Buchelnikov D.
23. Jaskin D.
15. Karnaukhov P. (A)
94. Semyonov K. (A)
19. Drozdov I.
72. Alistrov V.
Line 2
79. Roy J.
53. Marchenko A. (C)
45. Provolnev V.
89. Karpukhin I.
13. Poltapov P.
14. Denisenko G.
16. Zernov D.
55. Chmelevski A.
51. Kovalenko N.
17. Barabanov A.
Line 3
22. Williams C.
8. Kniazev A.
5. Samorukov D.
7. Falkovsky S.
91. Sprong D. (A)
95. Galimov A.
23. Gardner R.
24. Safonov I.
34. Gurianov D.
10. Biro B.
Line 4
28. Patrikhayev I.
92. Katelevsky D.
76. Shuravin M.
11. Fisenko M. (A)
11. Abramov V.
86. Dynyak N.
70. Yanchenko I.
26. Dolzhenkov K.
Substitutes
30. Martin S. (G)
1. Berdin M. (G)
13. Zamaltdinov R.
Coaches
. Nikitin I.
. Gatiyatulin A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 2)
00:25, Semyonov K. (2 min),
02:01, 1 - 0, Roy J. (G), Poltapov P. (A), Sprong D. (A2)
07:12, 1 - 1, Miller M. (G),
11:10, Fisenko M. (2 min),
14:27, 2 - 1, Buchelnikov D. (G), Zernov D. (A), Kovalenko N. (A2)
15:13, (2 min),
17:01, 2 - 2, Semyonov K. (G), Lyamkin N. (A), Galimov A. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
06:29, Yeryomenko V. (2 min),
17:09, Patrikhayev I. (2 min),
19:07, 2 - 3, Barabanov A. (G), Miller M. (A), Denisenko G. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 0)
17:42, Safonov I. (2 min),
19:59, Karnaukhov P. (2 min),
Preview
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, CSKA won 2.
In recent matches, CSKA has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Ak Bars is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
CSKA may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
CSKA is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, CSKA won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 41:44. (average 2.1:2.2).
Including home matches between the teams, CSKA won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 15:25. (average 1.7:2.8).
Last Results with these Odds
HC CSKA Moscow - the odds 2.22 are the expected chance of winning is 43.26%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.
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Gamzin D. (G) 
Yeryomenko V. 
Miller M. 
Jaskin D. 
Roy J. 
Sprong D. (A) 
Nikitin I. 
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