Match Info

KHL

Date: 12 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Barys Arena (Astana)


	Barys Astana		Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod

	1	X	2
	3.32	4.15	2.02
	2.98	4.2	2.1	Watch
	2.95	4.1	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.08 ↑ (3)	4.15 ↑ (4.1)	2.05 ↓ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barys Astana
30.8%

Draw
22.9%

Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod
46.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.4%

23%

45.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2%

22.9%

46%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barys Astana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barys Astana than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	15%	5%

Barys Astana - Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Barys will win (votes: 16 - 80%). Torpedo NN will win (votes: 1 - 5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Barys: 62.5% – 97.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Barys Astana will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
41. Scheel A. (G)	72. Kostin D. (G)
44. Walsh R.	6. Konyushkov B. (A)
26. Wotherspoon T.	33. Naumenkov M.
88. Vecchione M.	92. Vinogradov Y.
11. Morelli M.	7. Letunov M.
70. Simonov S.	13. Sokolov Y.
Line 2
71. Daniyar Sam.	2. Zhuravlyov D.
2. Massie J. (A)	77. Nardella B.
84. Savitsky K. (C)	71. Rozhkov N. A.
9. Thompson T. (A)	78. Kruchinin A. (C)
27. Galimov E.	27. Goncharuk S.
Line 3
24. Breus D.	96. Boikov S.
3. McCoshen I.	36. Sizov A. (A)
13. Kaiyrzhan D.	41. Voronin K.
77. Shaikhmeddenov A.	93. Belevich A.
23. Mukhametov M.	80. Shavin N.
Line 4
58. Gaitamirov T.	21. Silayev A.
22. Panyukov K.	43. Svishchyov K.
17. Omirbekov A.	85. Yaremchuk A.
12. Logvin V.	9. Abramov M.
	51. Kosolapov A.
Substitutes
43. Shutov A. (G)	35. Kulbakov I. (G)
Coaches
. Kravets M.	. Isakov A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 1)
04:54, 1 - 0, Panyukov K. (G), Omirbekov A. (A), Walsh R. (A2)
05:26, 1 - 1, Letunov M. (G), Sizov A. (A), Silayev A. (A2)
08:21, 2 - 1, Walsh R. (G),
2nd Period (1 - 4)
06:20, Panyukov K. (2 min),
07:04, 2 - 2, Goncharuk S. (G), Konyushkov B. (A), Kruchinin A. (A2)
09:24, 2 - 3, Yaremchuk A. (G), Goncharuk S. (A), Abramov M. (A2)
10:25, 3 - 3, Simonov S. (G), Omirbekov A. (A), Savitsky K. (A2)
11:42, 3 - 4, Abramov M. (G), Yaremchuk A. (A), Shavin N. (A2)
12:52, Panyukov K. (2 min),
14:07, 3 - 5, Kruchinin A. (G), Konyushkov B. (A), Rozhkov N. A. (A2)
14:07, Scheel A. ↓, Shutov A. ↑,
3rd Period (0 - 0)
03:43, Nardella B. (2 min),
13:59, Simonov S. (2 min),
17:39, Massie J. (5 min),

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barys won 1.

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Torpedo NN could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Barys won 10 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 50:51. (average 2.5:2.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Barys won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 33:28. (average 3:2.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod - the odds 2.06 are the expected chance of winning is 45.68%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barys Astana
KHL
09.10.25	Traktor Chelyabinsk - Barys Astana	3:2 OT ✺
07.10.25	Ak Bars Kazan - Barys Astana	4:3 ✺
05.10.25	Sibir Novosibirsk - Barys Astana	1:0 penalties ✺
01.10.25	Barys Astana - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	1:5 ✺
29.09.25	Barys Astana - Admiral Vladivostok	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLLLW
- Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod
KHL
10.10.25	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod	4:1 ✺
07.10.25	Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod - Metallurg Magnitogorsk	1:5 ✺
05.10.25	Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod - Dynamo Moscow	1:4 ✺
03.10.25	Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod - Severstal Cherepovets	3:5 ✺
01.10.25	SKA Saint Petersburg - Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod	2:3 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

KHL
28.12.24	Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod - Barys Astana	3:1
30.09.24	Barys Astana - Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod	1:10
20.11.23	Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod - Barys Astana	4:2
29.10.23	Barys Astana - Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod	1:2
17.10.22	Barys Astana - Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod	4:1
06.10.22	Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod - Barys Astana	3:1
25.11.21	Barys Astana - Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod	4:2

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